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Politics·Powell

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

icon for What will Powell say during April Press Conference?
Politics·Powell

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

$1,213,181 Vol.

Apr 29, 2026
Polymarket

$1,213,181 Vol.

Polymarket

Inflation 40+ times

$95,195 Vol.

No

Inflation 50+ times

$41,678 Vol.

No

Inflation 60+ times

$27,307 Vol.

No

Job 15+ times

$10,939 Vol.

No

Balance Sheet

$21,406 Vol.

No

Successor

$19,481 Vol.

No

Integrity

$18,816 Vol.

Yes

Iran

$99,507 Vol.

Yes

Luck

$6,402 Vol.

No

Oil

$32,399 Vol.

Yes

Middle East

$22,172 Vol.

Yes

War

$32,310 Vol.

No

No Comment

$9,586 Vol.

No

Governor

$27,667 Vol.

Yes

Kevin / Warsh

$30,092 Vol.

Yes

Pandemic

$54,891 Vol.

Yes

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$49,124 Vol.

No

Data Center

$28,674 Vol.

Yes

Simulation

$15,360 Vol.

No

Tariff inflation

$18,525 Vol.

No

Goods inflation

$12,281 Vol.

No

Shut down / Shutdown

$19,469 Vol.

No

Good Afternoon

$312,687 Vol.

Yes

Crypto / Bitcoin

$207,212 Vol.

No

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's April 29, 2026, press conference following the FOMC's two-day meeting—his likely final one before his May 15 term ends—centers trader focus amid a leadership transition to nominee Kevin Warsh. Recent data, including the April 15 Beige Book noting moderate price rises and tightening financial conditions, alongside resilient GDP growth near 2.4%, steady unemployment around 4.4%, and stubborn inflation fueled by oil shocks from Iran tensions and tariff impacts, point to rates held at 3.50%-3.75% with four dissenting votes signaling internal divisions. Powell emphasized a cautious, data-dependent stance prioritizing the dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment, with no rush for cuts despite geopolitical uncertainties. Markets eye his remarks on Fed independence and economic projections for signals on future policy.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$1,213,181
End Date
Apr 29, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's April 29, 2026, press conference following the FOMC's two-day meeting—his likely final one before his May 15 term ends—centers trader focus amid a leadership transition to nominee Kevin Warsh. Recent data, including the April 15 Beige Book noting moderate price rises and tightening financial conditions, alongside resilient GDP growth near 2.4%, steady unemployment around 4.4%, and stubborn inflation fueled by oil shocks from Iran tensions and tariff impacts, point to rates held at 3.50%-3.75% with four dissenting votes signaling internal divisions. Powell emphasized a cautious, data-dependent stance prioritizing the dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment, with no rush for cuts despite geopolitical uncertainties. Markets eye his remarks on Fed independence and economic projections for signals on future policy.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$1,213,181
End Date
Apr 29, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Powell say during April Press Conference?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Integrity" at 100%, followed by "Iran" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Powell say during April Press Conference?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Powell say during April Press Conference?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Powell say during April Press Conference?" is "Integrity" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iran" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Powell say during April Press Conference?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.