Microsoft's fiscal 2026 third-quarter earnings, released April 29, delivered revenue of $82.9 billion—beating estimates by $1.5 billion—and adjusted EPS of $4.27 versus $4.06 expected, propelled by 18% Microsoft Cloud growth and surging Azure AI demand. Yet shares tumbled over 4% to around $405 on April 30, pressured by guidance for $190 billion in full-year capital expenditures, more than double prior plans, amid soaring memory chip costs that could squeeze margins. Traders balance robust fundamentals and analyst consensus targets near $557 against capex risks and macroeconomic headwinds like Treasury yields and Fed rate path expectations. With April ending today, end-month closing price will resolve price bin outcomes, ahead of Q4 earnings in late July.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?
What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?
$62,081 Vol.
May 1, 2026
↑ $570
No
↑ $533
No
↑ $503
No
↑ $473
No
↑ $450
No
↑ $435
No
↑ $420
Yes
↓ $405
Yes
↓ $390
Yes
↓ $375
Yes
↓ $353
No
↓ $330
No
↓ $300
No
↓ $263
No
$62,081 Vol.
↑ $570
$200 Vol.
No
↑ $533
$756 Vol.
No
↑ $503
$1,499 Vol.
No
↑ $473
$689 Vol.
No
↑ $450
$3,507 Vol.
No
↑ $435
$289 Vol.
No
↑ $420
$5,609 Vol.
Yes
↓ $405
$3,839 Vol.
Yes
↓ $390
$27,282 Vol.
Yes
↓ $375
$4,622 Vol.
Yes
↓ $353
$7,085 Vol.
No
↓ $330
$4,844 Vol.
No
↓ $300
$637 Vol.
No
↓ $263
$1,223 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft's fiscal 2026 third-quarter earnings, released April 29, delivered revenue of $82.9 billion—beating estimates by $1.5 billion—and adjusted EPS of $4.27 versus $4.06 expected, propelled by 18% Microsoft Cloud growth and surging Azure AI demand. Yet shares tumbled over 4% to around $405 on April 30, pressured by guidance for $190 billion in full-year capital expenditures, more than double prior plans, amid soaring memory chip costs that could squeeze margins. Traders balance robust fundamentals and analyst consensus targets near $557 against capex risks and macroeconomic headwinds like Treasury yields and Fed rate path expectations. With April ending today, end-month closing price will resolve price bin outcomes, ahead of Q4 earnings in late July.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$62,081End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft's fiscal 2026 third-quarter earnings, released April 29, delivered revenue of $82.9 billion—beating estimates by $1.5 billion—and adjusted EPS of $4.27 versus $4.06 expected, propelled by 18% Microsoft Cloud growth and surging Azure AI demand. Yet shares tumbled over 4% to around $405 on April 30, pressured by guidance for $190 billion in full-year capital expenditures, more than double prior plans, amid soaring memory chip costs that could squeeze margins. Traders balance robust fundamentals and analyst consensus targets near $557 against capex risks and macroeconomic headwinds like Treasury yields and Fed rate path expectations. With April ending today, end-month closing price will resolve price bin outcomes, ahead of Q4 earnings in late July.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$62,081End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Microsoft's fiscal 2026 third-quarter earnings, released April 29, delivered revenue of $82.9 billion—beating estimates by $1.5 billion—and adjusted EPS of $4.27 versus $4.06 expected, propelled by 18% Microsoft Cloud growth and surging Azure AI demand. Yet shares tumbled over 4% to around $405 on April 30, pressured by guidance for $190 billion in full-year capital expenditures, more than double prior plans, amid soaring memory chip costs that could squeeze margins. Traders balance robust fundamentals and analyst consensus targets near $557 against capex risks and macroeconomic headwinds like Treasury yields and Fed rate path expectations. With April ending today, end-month closing price will resolve price bin outcomes, ahead of Q4 earnings in late July.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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