Tesla shares have traded under pressure in early June 2026, closing at 415.88 on June 1 before rebounding modestly to the 423 area midweek and settling near 418 on June 4, keeping the weekly close below 420 the clear market favorite at 57% implied probability. Q1 deliveries of 358,000 vehicles and revenue of $22.39 billion fell short of prior-quarter levels, while elevated 2026 capex guidance near $25 billion and ongoing SpaceX IPO speculation have weighed on multiples near the $1.59 trillion market cap. Analyst targets around $407 and elevated volatility underscore the tight range between $415 and $425 that now anchors trader consensus ahead of Q2 delivery data and the July 22 earnings release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$425-$430 20%
$420-$425 17%
$430-$435 9%
$445-$450 9.2%
NEW
NEW
Jun 5, 2026
<$420
57%
$420-$425
20%
$425-$430
20%
$430-$435
9%
$435-$440
7%
$440-$445
9%
$445-$450
9%
$450-$455
8%
$455-$460
8%
$460-$465
9%
>$465
7%
$425-$430 20%
$420-$425 17%
$430-$435 9%
$445-$450 9.2%
NEW
NEW
Jun 5, 2026
<$420
$352 Vol.
57%
$420-$425
$10 Vol.
20%
$425-$430
$0 Vol.
20%
$430-$435
$0 Vol.
9%
$435-$440
$0 Vol.
7%
$440-$445
$0 Vol.
9%
$445-$450
$0 Vol.
9%
$450-$455
$7 Vol.
8%
$455-$460
$0 Vol.
8%
$460-$465
$0 Vol.
9%
>$465
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares have traded under pressure in early June 2026, closing at 415.88 on June 1 before rebounding modestly to the 423 area midweek and settling near 418 on June 4, keeping the weekly close below 420 the clear market favorite at 57% implied probability. Q1 deliveries of 358,000 vehicles and revenue of $22.39 billion fell short of prior-quarter levels, while elevated 2026 capex guidance near $25 billion and ongoing SpaceX IPO speculation have weighed on multiples near the $1.59 trillion market cap. Analyst targets around $407 and elevated volatility underscore the tight range between $415 and $425 that now anchors trader consensus ahead of Q2 delivery data and the July 22 earnings release.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$378End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares have traded under pressure in early June 2026, closing at 415.88 on June 1 before rebounding modestly to the 423 area midweek and settling near 418 on June 4, keeping the weekly close below 420 the clear market favorite at 57% implied probability. Q1 deliveries of 358,000 vehicles and revenue of $22.39 billion fell short of prior-quarter levels, while elevated 2026 capex guidance near $25 billion and ongoing SpaceX IPO speculation have weighed on multiples near the $1.59 trillion market cap. Analyst targets around $407 and elevated volatility underscore the tight range between $415 and $425 that now anchors trader consensus ahead of Q2 delivery data and the July 22 earnings release.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$378End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares have traded under pressure in early June 2026, closing at 415.88 on June 1 before rebounding modestly to the 423 area midweek and settling near 418 on June 4, keeping the weekly close below 420 the clear market favorite at 57% implied probability. Q1 deliveries of 358,000 vehicles and revenue of $22.39 billion fell short of prior-quarter levels, while elevated 2026 capex guidance near $25 billion and ongoing SpaceX IPO speculation have weighed on multiples near the $1.59 trillion market cap. Analyst targets around $407 and elevated volatility underscore the tight range between $415 and $425 that now anchors trader consensus ahead of Q2 delivery data and the July 22 earnings release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions