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Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

icon for MLB: 2026 AL MVP
Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Aaron Judge 46%

Yordan Alvarez 25.7%

Ben Rice 19%

Bobby Witt Jr. 10%

Polymarket

$46,991 Vol.

Aaron Judge 46%

Yordan Alvarez 25.7%

Ben Rice 19%

Bobby Witt Jr. 10%

Polymarket

$46,991 Vol.

Aaron Judge

$895 Vol.

38%

Yordan Alvarez

$948 Vol.

26%

Ben Rice

$0 Vol.

19%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$1,257 Vol.

10%

Mike Trout

$85 Vol.

7%

Jose Ramirez

$324 Vol.

7%

Cal Raleigh

$85 Vol.

5%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$1,515 Vol.

4%

Gunnar Henderson

$194 Vol.

2%

Julio Rodriguez

$41,368 Vol.

1%

Corey Seager

$321 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge leads trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 36.5% implied probability, fueled by his tie for the league lead with 12 home runs through 30-plus games despite a .252 batting average and 1.002 OPS, powering the Yankees atop the AL East. Yordan Alvarez sits close at 25.7%, dominating early with MLB-best 1.199 OPS, .356 average, tied 12 homers, and 27 RBI amid Houston's solid start. Yankees first baseman Ben Rice's breakout surge—.327 average, 10 homers, 1.157 OPS, 23 RBI—earns 18% positioning him as a dark horse. Bobby Witt Jr.'s .289 average and 2 homers leave him at 10%, while injury history caps Mike Trout and Jose Ramirez below 7%.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,991
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge leads trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 36.5% implied probability, fueled by his tie for the league lead with 12 home runs through 30-plus games despite a .252 batting average and 1.002 OPS, powering the Yankees atop the AL East. Yordan Alvarez sits close at 25.7%, dominating early with MLB-best 1.199 OPS, .356 average, tied 12 homers, and 27 RBI amid Houston's solid start. Yankees first baseman Ben Rice's breakout surge—.327 average, 10 homers, 1.157 OPS, 23 RBI—earns 18% positioning him as a dark horse. Bobby Witt Jr.'s .289 average and 2 homers leave him at 10%, while injury history caps Mike Trout and Jose Ramirez below 7%.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,991
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 38%, followed by "Yordan Alvarez" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " has generated $47K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL MVP ," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is "Aaron Judge" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yordan Alvarez" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.