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Sports·Soccer

Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)

icon for Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)
Sports·Soccer

Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)

Rio Ave 93%

Arouca 93%

Nacional 47%

Tondela 47%

Polymarket
NEW

Rio Ave 93%

Arouca 93%

Nacional 47%

Tondela 47%

Polymarket
NEW

Rio Ave

$130 Vol.

93%

Arouca

$5 Vol.

93%

Nacional

$0 Vol.

47%

Tondela

$0 Vol.

47%

Estrela da Amadora

$0 Vol.

43%

Casa Pia

$0 Vol.

34%

Santa Clara

$0 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a nail-biting Primeira Liga relegation scrap for 16th place, the final playoff spot against Liga Portugal 2 sides, with Nacional edging at 47% implied probability ahead of Tondela, Rio Ave, and Arouca clustered at 46.5%, underscoring razor-thin margins after 31 matchdays. Nacional's superior goal difference (-7 versus -17 to -29 for rivals) and recent form surge—wins in three of last six, including a key 2-0 victory over Tondela six days ago—bolster their drop to exactly 16th, while a five-point gap from Arouca's 35 to Casa Pia's 26 points leaves room for swings in the final three fixtures. Santa Clara's uptick (two wins in six) and Estrela da Amadora's slump (one win in six) sustain the deadlock, with head-to-head results and goal difference poised to decide ties.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,144
End Date
Jun 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a nail-biting Primeira Liga relegation scrap for 16th place, the final playoff spot against Liga Portugal 2 sides, with Nacional edging at 47% implied probability ahead of Tondela, Rio Ave, and Arouca clustered at 46.5%, underscoring razor-thin margins after 31 matchdays. Nacional's superior goal difference (-7 versus -17 to -29 for rivals) and recent form surge—wins in three of last six, including a key 2-0 victory over Tondela six days ago—bolster their drop to exactly 16th, while a five-point gap from Arouca's 35 to Casa Pia's 26 points leaves room for swings in the final three fixtures. Santa Clara's uptick (two wins in six) and Estrela da Amadora's slump (one win in six) sustain the deadlock, with head-to-head results and goal difference poised to decide ties.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,144
End Date
Jun 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rio Ave" at 47%, followed by "Arouca" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" is "Rio Ave" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arouca" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.