With three matchdays remaining in the Primeira Liga, trader consensus reflects a fiercely contested race for 16th place—the relegation playoff spot—as Santa Clara (32 points, 13th), Nacional (31 points, 14th), Estrela da Amadora (28 points, 15th), and Casa Pia (26 points, 16th) cling to slim advantages over Tondela (22 points, 17th), while higher Rio Ave (34 points, 12th) and Arouca (35 points, 11th) risk slipping amid tough fixtures. Matchday 30 produced tight results like Casa Pia's 0-0 draw with Santa Clara, Nacional's 1-0 win over Alverca, Arouca's 1-0 victory against Estrela, and Rio Ave's 2-2 stalemate with AVS, preventing any separation despite varied recent form. Goal differences and head-to-head ties will prove decisive in this bunched standings battle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRio Ave 93%
Arouca 93%
Nacional 47%
Tondela 47%
Rio Ave
93%
Arouca
93%
Nacional
47%
Tondela
47%
Santa Clara
46%
Casa Pia
46%
Estrela da Amadora
45%
Rio Ave 93%
Arouca 93%
Nacional 47%
Tondela 47%
Rio Ave
93%
Arouca
93%
Nacional
47%
Tondela
47%
Santa Clara
46%
Casa Pia
46%
Estrela da Amadora
45%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With three matchdays remaining in the Primeira Liga, trader consensus reflects a fiercely contested race for 16th place—the relegation playoff spot—as Santa Clara (32 points, 13th), Nacional (31 points, 14th), Estrela da Amadora (28 points, 15th), and Casa Pia (26 points, 16th) cling to slim advantages over Tondela (22 points, 17th), while higher Rio Ave (34 points, 12th) and Arouca (35 points, 11th) risk slipping amid tough fixtures. Matchday 30 produced tight results like Casa Pia's 0-0 draw with Santa Clara, Nacional's 1-0 win over Alverca, Arouca's 1-0 victory against Estrela, and Rio Ave's 2-2 stalemate with AVS, preventing any separation despite varied recent form. Goal differences and head-to-head ties will prove decisive in this bunched standings battle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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