Vivek Ramaswamy's commanding lead in Ohio's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 5 propelled trader consensus to price his 60-70% margin of victory at 98.5%, reflecting early results showing him at 82-86% against Casey Putsch's 14-18% across all 88 counties. Pre-election polls like BGSU/YouGov captured his 76% dominance among GOP voters, fueled by Trump and Ohio Republican Party endorsements, $40 million in self-funding, and national profile from his 2024 presidential bid and DOGE co-leadership, which cleared most challengers. This skin-in-the-game wisdom prices minimal upset risk, though late absentee ballots or rare certification challenges could nudge the final margin outside that range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOhio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ramaswamy 60-70% 98.6%
Ramaswamy 40-50% 1.7%
Other 1.1%
Ramaswamy 30-40% <1%
$57,886 Vol.
$57,886 Vol.
May 5, 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
2%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
1%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
99%
Ramaswamy 70%+
1%
Other
1%
Ramaswamy 60-70% 98.6%
Ramaswamy 40-50% 1.7%
Other 1.1%
Ramaswamy 30-40% <1%
$57,886 Vol.
$57,886 Vol.
May 5, 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
$3,664 Vol.
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
$2,310 Vol.
1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
$2,760 Vol.
2%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
$9,769 Vol.
1%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
$12,384 Vol.
99%
Ramaswamy 70%+
$25,683 Vol.
1%
Other
$1,316 Vol.
1%
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Vivek Ramaswamy's commanding lead in Ohio's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 5 propelled trader consensus to price his 60-70% margin of victory at 98.5%, reflecting early results showing him at 82-86% against Casey Putsch's 14-18% across all 88 counties. Pre-election polls like BGSU/YouGov captured his 76% dominance among GOP voters, fueled by Trump and Ohio Republican Party endorsements, $40 million in self-funding, and national profile from his 2024 presidential bid and DOGE co-leadership, which cleared most challengers. This skin-in-the-game wisdom prices minimal upset risk, though late absentee ballots or rare certification challenges could nudge the final margin outside that range.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Volume
$57,886End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Vivek Ramaswamy's commanding lead in Ohio's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 5 propelled trader consensus to price his 60-70% margin of victory at 98.5%, reflecting early results showing him at 82-86% against Casey Putsch's 14-18% across all 88 counties. Pre-election polls like BGSU/YouGov captured his 76% dominance among GOP voters, fueled by Trump and Ohio Republican Party endorsements, $40 million in self-funding, and national profile from his 2024 presidential bid and DOGE co-leadership, which cleared most challengers. This skin-in-the-game wisdom prices minimal upset risk, though late absentee ballots or rare certification challenges could nudge the final margin outside that range.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$57,886End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vivek Ramaswamy's commanding lead in Ohio's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 5 propelled trader consensus to price his 60-70% margin of victory at 98.5%, reflecting early results showing him at 82-86% against Casey Putsch's 14-18% across all 88 counties. Pre-election polls like BGSU/YouGov captured his 76% dominance among GOP voters, fueled by Trump and Ohio Republican Party endorsements, $40 million in self-funding, and national profile from his 2024 presidential bid and DOGE co-leadership, which cleared most challengers. This skin-in-the-game wisdom prices minimal upset risk, though late absentee ballots or rare certification challenges could nudge the final margin outside that range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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