MrBeast's latest high-stakes survival video, "I Stranded 100 People In The Wilderness For $250,000," notched over 40 million views in its first 24 hours, fueling evenly distributed trader sentiment across day-three bins from under 58 million to 70 million-plus, with each outcome at 41.5% implied probability. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in growth trajectory, as day-one explosions often slow amid competition from shorts and sustained algorithmic push to his 480 million subscribers. Differentiating factors include retention from the massive contestant premise—echoing grocery store and streamer challenges that hit 60-80 million by day three—and potential viral shorts amplification. With 72-hour resolution looming, late surges from global shares or cross-platform buzz could tip the scales toward higher brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 3?
# of views of MrBeast video day 3?
62–64M 42%
64–66M 42%
60–62M 42%
66–68M 41%
<58M
6%
58–60M
14%
60–62M
42%
62–64M
42%
64–66M
42%
66–68M
41%
68–70M
41%
70M+
16%
62–64M 42%
64–66M 42%
60–62M 42%
66–68M 41%
<58M
6%
58–60M
14%
60–62M
42%
62–64M
42%
64–66M
42%
66–68M
41%
68–70M
41%
70M+
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "100 People Simulate Being Stranded In The Wilderness", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Zy5VLcEbZc. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "100 People Simulate Being Stranded In The Wilderness", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Zy5VLcEbZc. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast's latest high-stakes survival video, "I Stranded 100 People In The Wilderness For $250,000," notched over 40 million views in its first 24 hours, fueling evenly distributed trader sentiment across day-three bins from under 58 million to 70 million-plus, with each outcome at 41.5% implied probability. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in growth trajectory, as day-one explosions often slow amid competition from shorts and sustained algorithmic push to his 480 million subscribers. Differentiating factors include retention from the massive contestant premise—echoing grocery store and streamer challenges that hit 60-80 million by day three—and potential viral shorts amplification. With 72-hour resolution looming, late surges from global shares or cross-platform buzz could tip the scales toward higher brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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