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icon for 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

icon for 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

7% chance
Polymarket
NEW
7% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability, driven by MrBeast's recent main-channel videos consistently falling short of 50 million first-24-hour views, with the latest upload hitting just 37.9 million—ranking 16th among his last 50 releases—and the "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" saga peaking around 24-38 million in day-one metrics. This marks a decline from historical highs near 60-80 million, amid a strategic pivot toward Beast Games on Prime Video, which garnered massive streaming hours but diluted YouTube premiere velocity. No April uploads cracked the threshold, and with sporadic upload cadence, May lacks confirmed blockbuster catalysts. An upset would require a mega-viral collab, algorithm surge, or unprecedented hype machine, though channel daily views exceed 200 million via shorts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Volume
$1,256
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability, driven by MrBeast's recent main-channel videos consistently falling short of 50 million first-24-hour views, with the latest upload hitting just 37.9 million—ranking 16th among his last 50 releases—and the "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" saga peaking around 24-38 million in day-one metrics. This marks a decline from historical highs near 60-80 million, amid a strategic pivot toward Beast Games on Prime Video, which garnered massive streaming hours but diluted YouTube premiere velocity. No April uploads cracked the threshold, and with sporadic upload cadence, May lacks confirmed blockbuster catalysts. An upset would require a mega-viral collab, algorithm surge, or unprecedented hype machine, though channel daily views exceed 200 million via shorts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Volume
$1,256
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 7% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 7¢, the market collectively assigns a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?" is 7% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.