Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94% implied probability to MrBeast surpassing 121.5 billion lifetime views on his main YouTube channel by May 31, 2026, driven by his consistent 115-120 million daily views over the past 30 days—yielding 3.5 billion total—from evergreen viral challenges like high-stakes philanthropy stunts amid 480 million subscribers. With current totals at approximately 119.5 billion as of April 30, steady algorithmic push on older hits like "Last To Leave Grocery Store, Wins $250,000" (109 million views in 11 days) sustains momentum without recent uploads. Upcoming video premieres, teased via social media, could accelerate toward 123 billion, though irregular release timing adds minor uncertainty to higher thresholds before the market's 11:59 PM ET close.