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icon for NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?

icon for NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?

May 6

May 6

NEW
May 6, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

$190

$0 Vol.

96%

$195

$0 Vol.

51%

$200

$0 Vol.

52%

$205

$0 Vol.

51%

$210

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on May 6 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."NVIDIA (NVDA) shares closed at $198.48 on May 5, 2026, stabilizing after a 5% pullback from late-April highs near $213 amid broader big tech earnings disappointments, reflecting sector rotation and valuation concerns at a trailing P/E of 40.51. Trader consensus remains bullish, with analyst average price targets at $269 implying over 35% upside, driven by robust AI data center demand, FY2026 revenue guidance of $216 billion, and Bank of America projections for $400 billion in free cash flow through 2027. Near-term headwinds include CEO Jensen Huang's disclosure of zero China market share due to U.S. export curbs. Watch AMD's Q1 earnings after today's close for sector cues impacting May 6 trading, ahead of NVDA's May 20 report.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on May 6 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0
End Date
May 6, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on May 6 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on May 6 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."NVIDIA (NVDA) shares closed at $198.48 on May 5, 2026, stabilizing after a 5% pullback from late-April highs near $213 amid broader big tech earnings disappointments, reflecting sector rotation and valuation concerns at a trailing P/E of 40.51. Trader consensus remains bullish, with analyst average price targets at $269 implying over 35% upside, driven by robust AI data center demand, FY2026 revenue guidance of $216 billion, and Bank of America projections for $400 billion in free cash flow through 2027. Near-term headwinds include CEO Jensen Huang's disclosure of zero China market share due to U.S. export curbs. Watch AMD's Q1 earnings after today's close for sector cues impacting May 6 trading, ahead of NVDA's May 20 report.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on May 6 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0
End Date
May 6, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on May 6 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$190" at 96%, followed by "$200" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?" is "$190" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$200" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.