Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) share price closing the week of April 27 in the $90-$100 range, driven by the stock's tight trading band around $92-$93 following its Q1 2026 earnings beat on April 16—revenue up 16% to $12.25 billion and EPS of $1.23 exceeding estimates—despite softer Q2 guidance that initially pressured shares. Stabilization accelerated after the April 23 announcement of a $25 billion share repurchase authorization, signaling strong cash flow confidence amid 49% gross margins and robust free cash flow of $5.09 billion. With average analyst targets at $115 and low near-term volatility (52-week range $75-$134), positioning remains anchored; challenges would require unexpected macroeconomic shocks, subscriber churn revelations, or broader market selloffs to breach the range before Friday's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$90-$100 96%
$80-$90 4%
$100-$110 2.0%
$70-$80 1.8%
<$50
<1%
$50-$60
<1%
$60-$70
<1%
$70-$80
2%
$80-$90
4%
$90-$100
96%
$100-$110
2%
$110-$120
1%
$120-$130
<1%
$130-$140
<1%
>$140
1%
$90-$100 96%
$80-$90 4%
$100-$110 2.0%
$70-$80 1.8%
<$50
<1%
$50-$60
<1%
$60-$70
<1%
$70-$80
2%
$80-$90
4%
$90-$100
96%
$100-$110
2%
$110-$120
1%
$120-$130
<1%
$130-$140
<1%
>$140
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) share price closing the week of April 27 in the $90-$100 range, driven by the stock's tight trading band around $92-$93 following its Q1 2026 earnings beat on April 16—revenue up 16% to $12.25 billion and EPS of $1.23 exceeding estimates—despite softer Q2 guidance that initially pressured shares. Stabilization accelerated after the April 23 announcement of a $25 billion share repurchase authorization, signaling strong cash flow confidence amid 49% gross margins and robust free cash flow of $5.09 billion. With average analyst targets at $115 and low near-term volatility (52-week range $75-$134), positioning remains anchored; challenges would require unexpected macroeconomic shocks, subscriber churn revelations, or broader market selloffs to breach the range before Friday's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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