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Finance·NFLX

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above___?

icon for Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above___?
Finance·NFLX

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above___?

4:00PM May 8

4:00PM May 8

NEW
May 8, 2026
Polymarket

$280 Vol.

Polymarket

$30

$35 Vol.

99%

$40

$35 Vol.

99%

$50

$35 Vol.

99%

$60

$35 Vol.

91%

$70

$35 Vol.

93%

$80

$0 Vol.

90%

$90

$0 Vol.

51%

$100

$0 Vol.

11%

$110

$0 Vol.

8%

$120

$35 Vol.

14%

$130

$35 Vol.

17%

$140

$35 Vol.

1%

$150

$35 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Trader sentiment for Netflix (NFLX) share price heading into the week of May 4 hinges on the aftermath of Q1 2026 earnings released April 16, where revenue surged 16% year-over-year, exceeding guidance, but shares tumbled over 30% from their 52-week high of $134 amid concerns about elevated valuation (P/E around 30) and a $2.8 billion one-time gain clouding earnings quality. The company reaffirmed its path to $3 billion in advertising revenue for 2026, bolstering long-term optimism, while analyst consensus holds a $116 price target—implying 25% upside from current levels near $93. Key swings could stem from broader tech sector rotation, macroeconomic data influencing risk appetite, and competitive pressures in streaming; next earnings loom in mid-July 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$280
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Trader sentiment for Netflix (NFLX) share price heading into the week of May 4 hinges on the aftermath of Q1 2026 earnings released April 16, where revenue surged 16% year-over-year, exceeding guidance, but shares tumbled over 30% from their 52-week high of $134 amid concerns about elevated valuation (P/E around 30) and a $2.8 billion one-time gain clouding earnings quality. The company reaffirmed its path to $3 billion in advertising revenue for 2026, bolstering long-term optimism, while analyst consensus holds a $116 price target—implying 25% upside from current levels near $93. Key swings could stem from broader tech sector rotation, macroeconomic data influencing risk appetite, and competitive pressures in streaming; next earnings loom in mid-July 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$280
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above___?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$30" at 99%, followed by "$40" at 99%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above___?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above___?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above___?" is "$30" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$40" at 99%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 4 above___?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.