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MLS Cup Winner 2026

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MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 16%

Los Angeles FC 12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.2%

San Jose Earthquakes 7.0%

Polymarket

$16,379,433 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 16%

Los Angeles FC 12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.2%

San Jose Earthquakes 7.0%

Polymarket

$16,379,433 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$15,968 Vol.

16%

Los Angeles FC

$25,080 Vol.

12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$358,370 Vol.

10%

San Jose Earthquakes

$1,060,507 Vol.

7%

Nashville SC

$277,089 Vol.

6%

Seattle Sounders FC

$789,689 Vol.

4%

San Diego FC

$1,197,993 Vol.

4%

New York City FC

$559,992 Vol.

4%

FC Cincinnati

$1,533,543 Vol.

4%

Charlotte FC

$1,652,513 Vol.

2%

Columbus Crew

$3,024,203 Vol.

2%

LA Galaxy

$13,246 Vol.

2%

Toronto FC

$25,665 Vol.

2%

New York Red Bulls

$237,240 Vol.

2%

Chicago Fire FC

$87,463 Vol.

2%

Houston Dynamo FC

$300,884 Vol.

1%

Orlando City SC

$2,002,587 Vol.

1%

Minnesota United FC

$140,800 Vol.

1%

Real Salt Lake

$2,556,355 Vol.

1%

Philadelphia Union

$74,614 Vol.

1%

Atlanta United FC

$64,997 Vol.

1%

New England Revolution

$19,167 Vol.

1%

Austin FC

$65,780 Vol.

1%

FC Dallas

$51,917 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rapids

$97,503 Vol.

1%

Portland Timbers

$58,384 Vol.

1%

D.C. United

$4,392 Vol.

<1%

CF Montréal

$6,123 Vol.

<1%

St. Louis City SC

$66,443 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$11,178 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inter Miami CF holds a slim edge at 15.5% implied probability as defending MLS Cup champions, with Lionel Messi's creativity offsetting recent home draws amid a competitive Eastern Conference table where they sit second behind Nashville SC. Vancouver Whitecaps (10.2%) vaulted to power rankings No. 1 last week via an unbeaten streak including statement wins, while LAFC (12.0%) clings to Western contention after dropping the top spot despite strong goal differential. San Jose Earthquakes (7.0%) surged atop overall standings with a 9-1-0 record and dominant 3-0 shutout of Vancouver, fueling their rise alongside Nashville (6.3%) leading the East. After just 9-10 matchdays, minimal points gaps, hot streaks across West and East, and 30+ games left keep the race tightly bunched, vulnerable to injuries, schedules, and playoff home advantage.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,379,433
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inter Miami CF holds a slim edge at 15.5% implied probability as defending MLS Cup champions, with Lionel Messi's creativity offsetting recent home draws amid a competitive Eastern Conference table where they sit second behind Nashville SC. Vancouver Whitecaps (10.2%) vaulted to power rankings No. 1 last week via an unbeaten streak including statement wins, while LAFC (12.0%) clings to Western contention after dropping the top spot despite strong goal differential. San Jose Earthquakes (7.0%) surged atop overall standings with a 9-1-0 record and dominant 3-0 shutout of Vancouver, fueling their rise alongside Nashville (6.3%) leading the East. After just 9-10 matchdays, minimal points gaps, hot streaks across West and East, and 30+ games left keep the race tightly bunched, vulnerable to injuries, schedules, and playoff home advantage.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,379,433
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 16%, followed by "Los Angeles FC" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $16.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Angeles FC" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.