Inter Miami CF holds a slim edge at 15.5% implied probability as defending MLS Cup champions, with Lionel Messi's creativity offsetting recent home draws amid a competitive Eastern Conference table where they sit second behind Nashville SC. Vancouver Whitecaps (10.2%) vaulted to power rankings No. 1 last week via an unbeaten streak including statement wins, while LAFC (12.0%) clings to Western contention after dropping the top spot despite strong goal differential. San Jose Earthquakes (7.0%) surged atop overall standings with a 9-1-0 record and dominant 3-0 shutout of Vancouver, fueling their rise alongside Nashville (6.3%) leading the East. After just 9-10 matchdays, minimal points gaps, hot streaks across West and East, and 30+ games left keep the race tightly bunched, vulnerable to injuries, schedules, and playoff home advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedInter Miami CF 16%
Los Angeles FC 12%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.2%
San Jose Earthquakes 7.0%
$16,379,433 Vol.
$16,379,433 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
16%
Los Angeles FC
12%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
10%
San Jose Earthquakes
7%
Nashville SC
6%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
San Diego FC
4%
New York City FC
4%
FC Cincinnati
4%
Charlotte FC
2%
Columbus Crew
2%
LA Galaxy
2%
Toronto FC
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Chicago Fire FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
1%
Orlando City SC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
Real Salt Lake
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
New England Revolution
1%
Austin FC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
D.C. United
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 16%
Los Angeles FC 12%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.2%
San Jose Earthquakes 7.0%
$16,379,433 Vol.
$16,379,433 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
16%
Los Angeles FC
12%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
10%
San Jose Earthquakes
7%
Nashville SC
6%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
San Diego FC
4%
New York City FC
4%
FC Cincinnati
4%
Charlotte FC
2%
Columbus Crew
2%
LA Galaxy
2%
Toronto FC
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Chicago Fire FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
1%
Orlando City SC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
Real Salt Lake
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
New England Revolution
1%
Austin FC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
Portland Timbers
1%
D.C. United
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Inter Miami CF holds a slim edge at 15.5% implied probability as defending MLS Cup champions, with Lionel Messi's creativity offsetting recent home draws amid a competitive Eastern Conference table where they sit second behind Nashville SC. Vancouver Whitecaps (10.2%) vaulted to power rankings No. 1 last week via an unbeaten streak including statement wins, while LAFC (12.0%) clings to Western contention after dropping the top spot despite strong goal differential. San Jose Earthquakes (7.0%) surged atop overall standings with a 9-1-0 record and dominant 3-0 shutout of Vancouver, fueling their rise alongside Nashville (6.3%) leading the East. After just 9-10 matchdays, minimal points gaps, hot streaks across West and East, and 30+ games left keep the race tightly bunched, vulnerable to injuries, schedules, and playoff home advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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