Multiple coaching changes and an unsettled early 2026 MLS standings have created a wide-open Coach of the Year race, with no single manager pulling away. Bradley Carnell and Nico Estévez remain near the top of trader pricing despite recent firings from Philadelphia Union and Austin FC, while Tata Martino’s return to Atlanta United and strong starts from clubs led by Dean Smith, Matt Wells, and others keep a large group of candidates within a narrow band of implied probabilities. Recent form, defensive structure, and results against top competition continue to shift sentiment weekly, sustaining the tight clustering among more than a dozen names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBradley Carnell 39.1%
Nico Estévez 36.5%
Robin Fraser 28.5%
Dean Smith 27.9%
$80,221 Vol.
$80,221 Vol.
Bradley Carnell
39%
Nico Estévez
37%
Robin Fraser
28%
Dean Smith
28%
Gerardo “Tata” Martino
28%
Henrik Rydström
27%
Eric Quill
27%
B.J. Callaghan
26%
Matt Wells
25%
Pascal Jansen
25%
Bruce Arena
23%
Greg Vanney
21%
Jesper Sørensen
20%
Raphael Wicky
20%
Yoann Damet
18%
Gregg Berhalter
18%
Mikey Varas
17%
Michael Bradley
16%
Pablo Mastroeni
16%
Phil Neville
16%
Marco Donadel
15%
Marko Mitrović
15%
Javier Mascherano
11%
Marc Dos Santos
25%
Cameron Knowles
1%
Óscar Pareja
16%
Brian Schmetzer
9%
Pat Noonan
1%
René Weiler
1%
Ben Olsen
1%
Bradley Carnell 39.1%
Nico Estévez 36.5%
Robin Fraser 28.5%
Dean Smith 27.9%
$80,221 Vol.
$80,221 Vol.
Bradley Carnell
39%
Nico Estévez
37%
Robin Fraser
28%
Dean Smith
28%
Gerardo “Tata” Martino
28%
Henrik Rydström
27%
Eric Quill
27%
B.J. Callaghan
26%
Matt Wells
25%
Pascal Jansen
25%
Bruce Arena
23%
Greg Vanney
21%
Jesper Sørensen
20%
Raphael Wicky
20%
Yoann Damet
18%
Gregg Berhalter
18%
Mikey Varas
17%
Michael Bradley
16%
Pablo Mastroeni
16%
Phil Neville
16%
Marco Donadel
15%
Marko Mitrović
15%
Javier Mascherano
11%
Marc Dos Santos
25%
Cameron Knowles
1%
Óscar Pareja
16%
Brian Schmetzer
9%
Pat Noonan
1%
René Weiler
1%
Ben Olsen
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Multiple coaching changes and an unsettled early 2026 MLS standings have created a wide-open Coach of the Year race, with no single manager pulling away. Bradley Carnell and Nico Estévez remain near the top of trader pricing despite recent firings from Philadelphia Union and Austin FC, while Tata Martino’s return to Atlanta United and strong starts from clubs led by Dean Smith, Matt Wells, and others keep a large group of candidates within a narrow band of implied probabilities. Recent form, defensive structure, and results against top competition continue to shift sentiment weekly, sustaining the tight clustering among more than a dozen names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions