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icon for MLB: 2026 AL East Champion
Sports·MLB

MLB: 2026 AL East Champion

icon for MLB: 2026 AL East Champion
Sports·MLB

MLB: 2026 AL East Champion

New York Yankees 64%

Toronto Blue Jays 11%

Tampa Bay Rays 9.0%

Baltimore Orioles 9%

Polymarket
NEW

New York Yankees 64%

Toronto Blue Jays 11%

Tampa Bay Rays 9.0%

Baltimore Orioles 9%

Polymarket
NEW

New York Yankees

$1,243 Vol.

64%

Toronto Blue Jays

$1,030 Vol.

11%

Tampa Bay Rays

$772 Vol.

9%

Baltimore Orioles

$88 Vol.

9%

Boston Red Sox

$2,676 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The New York Yankees lead trader consensus at 61% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, fueled by their division-best 20-11 record through late April, including a six-game win streak that erased a mid-month slump of five straight losses and seven of nine. Robust offense (153 runs scored) and home-field strength have widened their gap over the Rays (18-12, 1.5 games back at 8.6%), while offseason continuity around Aaron Judge and additions like Cody Bellinger bolster projections. Toronto Blue Jays (11%) benefit from Dylan Cease's seven-year signing but lag at 12-15 amid injuries; slumping Baltimore Orioles (5.5%) and Boston Red Sox (5%, 11-17) trail due to uneven starts and key absences like Giancarlo Stanton's calf strain landing him on the injured list.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,809
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The New York Yankees lead trader consensus at 61% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, fueled by their division-best 20-11 record through late April, including a six-game win streak that erased a mid-month slump of five straight losses and seven of nine. Robust offense (153 runs scored) and home-field strength have widened their gap over the Rays (18-12, 1.5 games back at 8.6%), while offseason continuity around Aaron Judge and additions like Cody Bellinger bolster projections. Toronto Blue Jays (11%) benefit from Dylan Cease's seven-year signing but lag at 12-15 amid injuries; slumping Baltimore Orioles (5.5%) and Boston Red Sox (5%, 11-17) trail due to uneven starts and key absences like Giancarlo Stanton's calf strain landing him on the injured list.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,809
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL East Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "New York Yankees" at 64%, followed by "Toronto Blue Jays" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 2026 AL East Champion" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL East Champion," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL East Champion" is "New York Yankees" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Toronto Blue Jays" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL East Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.