Trader consensus favors the New York Yankees at 60.5% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, driven by their dominant 20-11 start atop the division standings, MLB-best +47 run differential (153 RS, 106 RA), and Aaron Judge's hot bat tied for the home run lead with eight on a historic pace. A sizzling 8-2 record over the last 10 games, including recent series wins like against the Rangers, plus Luis Gil rejoining the rotation and Carlos Rodón nearing return from the injured list, have widened their lead to six games over the pack. Tampa Bay Rays hold second at 18-12 (1.5 GB) with balanced play (6-4 L10), justifying 8.9%, while Toronto Blue Jays (14-17, poor 4-9 road mark despite Dylan Cease addition) at 10.5%, Baltimore Orioles (15-16 despite Pete Alonso signing) at 8.0%, and slumping Boston Red Sox (12-19 under interim manager) at 4.5% trail amid early-season struggles and weaker run differentials.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew York Yankees 61%
Toronto Blue Jays 11%
Tampa Bay Rays 8.8%
Baltimore Orioles 6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 11, 2026
New York Yankees
61%
Toronto Blue Jays
11%
Tampa Bay Rays
9%
Baltimore Orioles
6%
Boston Red Sox
5%
New York Yankees 61%
Toronto Blue Jays 11%
Tampa Bay Rays 8.8%
Baltimore Orioles 6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 11, 2026
New York Yankees
$1,243 Vol.
61%
Toronto Blue Jays
$1,030 Vol.
11%
Tampa Bay Rays
$772 Vol.
9%
Baltimore Orioles
$88 Vol.
6%
Boston Red Sox
$2,676 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors the New York Yankees at 60.5% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, driven by their dominant 20-11 start atop the division standings, MLB-best +47 run differential (153 RS, 106 RA), and Aaron Judge's hot bat tied for the home run lead with eight on a historic pace. A sizzling 8-2 record over the last 10 games, including recent series wins like against the Rangers, plus Luis Gil rejoining the rotation and Carlos Rodón nearing return from the injured list, have widened their lead to six games over the pack. Tampa Bay Rays hold second at 18-12 (1.5 GB) with balanced play (6-4 L10), justifying 8.9%, while Toronto Blue Jays (14-17, poor 4-9 road mark despite Dylan Cease addition) at 10.5%, Baltimore Orioles (15-16 despite Pete Alonso signing) at 8.0%, and slumping Boston Red Sox (12-19 under interim manager) at 4.5% trail amid early-season struggles and weaker run differentials.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$5,809End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors the New York Yankees at 60.5% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, driven by their dominant 20-11 start atop the division standings, MLB-best +47 run differential (153 RS, 106 RA), and Aaron Judge's hot bat tied for the home run lead with eight on a historic pace. A sizzling 8-2 record over the last 10 games, including recent series wins like against the Rangers, plus Luis Gil rejoining the rotation and Carlos Rodón nearing return from the injured list, have widened their lead to six games over the pack. Tampa Bay Rays hold second at 18-12 (1.5 GB) with balanced play (6-4 L10), justifying 8.9%, while Toronto Blue Jays (14-17, poor 4-9 road mark despite Dylan Cease addition) at 10.5%, Baltimore Orioles (15-16 despite Pete Alonso signing) at 8.0%, and slumping Boston Red Sox (12-19 under interim manager) at 4.5% trail amid early-season struggles and weaker run differentials.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,809End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors the New York Yankees at 60.5% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, driven by their dominant 20-11 start atop the division standings, MLB-best +47 run differential (153 RS, 106 RA), and Aaron Judge's hot bat tied for the home run lead with eight on a historic pace. A sizzling 8-2 record over the last 10 games, including recent series wins like against the Rangers, plus Luis Gil rejoining the rotation and Carlos Rodón nearing return from the injured list, have widened their lead to six games over the pack. Tampa Bay Rays hold second at 18-12 (1.5 GB) with balanced play (6-4 L10), justifying 8.9%, while Toronto Blue Jays (14-17, poor 4-9 road mark despite Dylan Cease addition) at 10.5%, Baltimore Orioles (15-16 despite Pete Alonso signing) at 8.0%, and slumping Boston Red Sox (12-19 under interim manager) at 4.5% trail amid early-season struggles and weaker run differentials.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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