Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Meta Platforms (META) closing the week of April 27 below $610, reflecting a sharp post-earnings selloff after the April 29 Q1 2026 results. Despite beating estimates with $56.3 billion in revenue (up 33% year-over-year) and adjusted EPS of $7.31 versus $6.79 expected, shares slid 6.4% in after-hours trading from a $669.12 close, driven by guidance for 2026 capital expenditures ballooning to $125-145 billion—primarily for AI infrastructure like data centers and GPUs to compete with OpenAI and Google DeepMind. This capex surge fuels concerns over near-term margin compression and free cash flow, positioning lower ranges like $620-$630 (20.5%) as secondary outcomes amid broader tech sector rotation away from high-spend AI plays; watch Friday's open for momentum toward the expected 6% volatility band down to $624.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$610 50%
$640-$650 24%
$610-$620 23%
$620-$630 22%
<$610
45%
$610-$620
19%
$620-$630
23%
$630-$640
28%
$640-$650
24%
$650-$660
22%
$660-$670
1%
$670-$680
5%
$680-$690
16%
$690-$700
8%
>$700
11%
<$610 50%
$640-$650 24%
$610-$620 23%
$620-$630 22%
<$610
45%
$610-$620
19%
$620-$630
23%
$630-$640
28%
$640-$650
24%
$650-$660
22%
$660-$670
1%
$670-$680
5%
$680-$690
16%
$690-$700
8%
>$700
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Meta Platforms (META) closing the week of April 27 below $610, reflecting a sharp post-earnings selloff after the April 29 Q1 2026 results. Despite beating estimates with $56.3 billion in revenue (up 33% year-over-year) and adjusted EPS of $7.31 versus $6.79 expected, shares slid 6.4% in after-hours trading from a $669.12 close, driven by guidance for 2026 capital expenditures ballooning to $125-145 billion—primarily for AI infrastructure like data centers and GPUs to compete with OpenAI and Google DeepMind. This capex surge fuels concerns over near-term margin compression and free cash flow, positioning lower ranges like $620-$630 (20.5%) as secondary outcomes amid broader tech sector rotation away from high-spend AI plays; watch Friday's open for momentum toward the expected 6% volatility band down to $624.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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