Mirra Andreeva holds a narrow trader consensus edge at 55.5% implied probability over Marta Kostyuk (44.4%) heading into the WTA 1000 Madrid Open women's singles final on clay, reflecting their parallel dominance this season—Andreeva at 12-1 on the surface, Kostyuk a perfect 11-0 entering her first career WTA 1000 championship match. Yesterday's semifinals solidified the matchup: ninth-seeded Andreeva saved three set points to outlast Hailey Baptiste 6-7(7), 6-3, 7-6(4), while 26th-seeded Kostyuk rebounded from a second-set lapse for a 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 win over Anastasia Potapova. With Kostyuk leading their lone prior head-to-head and both thriving at high-altitude La Caja Mágica, the closely contested final underscores stylistic clashes in baseline power and defense, absent major injury concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$45,503 Vol.
$45,503 Vol.
May 4, 2026
Mirra Andreeva
55%
Marta Kostyuk
44%
$45,503 Vol.
$45,503 Vol.
May 4, 2026
Mirra Andreeva
$316 Vol.
55%
Marta Kostyuk
$1,617 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mirra Andreeva holds a narrow trader consensus edge at 55.5% implied probability over Marta Kostyuk (44.4%) heading into the WTA 1000 Madrid Open women's singles final on clay, reflecting their parallel dominance this season—Andreeva at 12-1 on the surface, Kostyuk a perfect 11-0 entering her first career WTA 1000 championship match. Yesterday's semifinals solidified the matchup: ninth-seeded Andreeva saved three set points to outlast Hailey Baptiste 6-7(7), 6-3, 7-6(4), while 26th-seeded Kostyuk rebounded from a second-set lapse for a 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 win over Anastasia Potapova. With Kostyuk leading their lone prior head-to-head and both thriving at high-altitude La Caja Mágica, the closely contested final underscores stylistic clashes in baseline power and defense, absent major injury concerns.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volume
$45,503End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mirra Andreeva holds a narrow trader consensus edge at 55.5% implied probability over Marta Kostyuk (44.4%) heading into the WTA 1000 Madrid Open women's singles final on clay, reflecting their parallel dominance this season—Andreeva at 12-1 on the surface, Kostyuk a perfect 11-0 entering her first career WTA 1000 championship match. Yesterday's semifinals solidified the matchup: ninth-seeded Andreeva saved three set points to outlast Hailey Baptiste 6-7(7), 6-3, 7-6(4), while 26th-seeded Kostyuk rebounded from a second-set lapse for a 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 win over Anastasia Potapova. With Kostyuk leading their lone prior head-to-head and both thriving at high-altitude La Caja Mágica, the closely contested final underscores stylistic clashes in baseline power and defense, absent major injury concerns.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,503End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mirra Andreeva holds a narrow trader consensus edge at 55.5% implied probability over Marta Kostyuk (44.4%) heading into the WTA 1000 Madrid Open women's singles final on clay, reflecting their parallel dominance this season—Andreeva at 12-1 on the surface, Kostyuk a perfect 11-0 entering her first career WTA 1000 championship match. Yesterday's semifinals solidified the matchup: ninth-seeded Andreeva saved three set points to outlast Hailey Baptiste 6-7(7), 6-3, 7-6(4), while 26th-seeded Kostyuk rebounded from a second-set lapse for a 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 win over Anastasia Potapova. With Kostyuk leading their lone prior head-to-head and both thriving at high-altitude La Caja Mágica, the closely contested final underscores stylistic clashes in baseline power and defense, absent major injury concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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