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Sports·Madrid Open

2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner

icon for 2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner
Sports·Madrid Open

2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner

Jannik Sinner 75%

Alexander Zverev 11%

Arthur Fils 8.3%

Alexander Blockx 4.9%

Polymarket

$145,952 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 75%

Alexander Zverev 11%

Arthur Fils 8.3%

Alexander Blockx 4.9%

Polymarket

$145,952 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$56,205 Vol.

75%

Alexander Zverev

$12,435 Vol.

11%

Arthur Fils

$9,992 Vol.

8%

Alexander Blockx

$4,422 Vol.

5%

Flavio Cobolli

$3,474 Vol.

3%

Dani Mérida

$150 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.World No. 1 Jannik Sinner dominates trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open men's singles title on clay, fueled by his flawless run through the draw—including a clutch quarterfinal dismissal of surging Spanish wild card Rafael Jodar—while pursuing a fifth straight ATP Masters 1000 crown amid Carlos Alcaraz's injury absence. Alexander Zverev sits second at 10.5% after breaking his Madrid quarterfinal drought with a gritty win over Jakub Mensik, leveraging his strong clay record and potential semifinal matchup edge. Arthur Fils' 8.3% reflects a nine-match clay winning streak, capped by quarterfinal revenge over Jiri Lehecka, positioning him for a blockbuster semifinal against Sinner. Alexander Blockx's 5.0% stems from his stunning quarterfinal upset of defending champion Casper Ruud, highlighting the 21-year-old Belgian's breakout threat in a top-heavy semifinal field.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$145,952
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.World No. 1 Jannik Sinner dominates trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open men's singles title on clay, fueled by his flawless run through the draw—including a clutch quarterfinal dismissal of surging Spanish wild card Rafael Jodar—while pursuing a fifth straight ATP Masters 1000 crown amid Carlos Alcaraz's injury absence. Alexander Zverev sits second at 10.5% after breaking his Madrid quarterfinal drought with a gritty win over Jakub Mensik, leveraging his strong clay record and potential semifinal matchup edge. Arthur Fils' 8.3% reflects a nine-match clay winning streak, capped by quarterfinal revenge over Jiri Lehecka, positioning him for a blockbuster semifinal against Sinner. Alexander Blockx's 5.0% stems from his stunning quarterfinal upset of defending champion Casper Ruud, highlighting the 21-year-old Belgian's breakout threat in a top-heavy semifinal field.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$145,952
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 97+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 75%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" has generated $146K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner," browse the 97+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" is "Jannik Sinner" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.