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Sports·Madrid Open

2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner

icon for 2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner
Sports·Madrid Open

2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner

Jannik Sinner 73%

Alexander Zverev 13%

Arthur Fils 10.5%

Alexander Blockx 3.8%

Polymarket

$118,409 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 73%

Alexander Zverev 13%

Arthur Fils 10.5%

Alexander Blockx 3.8%

Polymarket

$118,409 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$39,651 Vol.

73%

Alexander Zverev

$9,249 Vol.

13%

Arthur Fils

$5,878 Vol.

11%

Alexander Blockx

$3,393 Vol.

4%

Dani Mérida

$150 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner dominates trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability for the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open men's singles title, fueled by his 24-match winning streak at ATP Masters 1000 events and straight-sets quarterfinal advancement past Cameron Norrie on clay where his baseline power thrives. Alexander Zverev sits second at 12.5% after grinding past Jakub Mensik and Flavio Cobolli in the fourth round and quarters, leveraging his strong Madrid history and high-altitude adaptation. Arthur Fils' 10.7% reflects nine straight clay wins, including a 6-3, 6-4 quarterfinal dismissal of Jiri Lehecka, marking his resurgence post-injury. Alexander Blockx's 3.9% stems from stunning Casper Ruud in the quarters, boosting his dark-horse upset potential into the semis against Zverev, while semis pit Sinner versus Fils.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$118,409
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner dominates trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability for the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open men's singles title, fueled by his 24-match winning streak at ATP Masters 1000 events and straight-sets quarterfinal advancement past Cameron Norrie on clay where his baseline power thrives. Alexander Zverev sits second at 12.5% after grinding past Jakub Mensik and Flavio Cobolli in the fourth round and quarters, leveraging his strong Madrid history and high-altitude adaptation. Arthur Fils' 10.7% reflects nine straight clay wins, including a 6-3, 6-4 quarterfinal dismissal of Jiri Lehecka, marking his resurgence post-injury. Alexander Blockx's 3.9% stems from stunning Casper Ruud in the quarters, boosting his dark-horse upset potential into the semis against Zverev, while semis pit Sinner versus Fils.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$118,409
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 97+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 73%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" has generated $118.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner," browse the 97+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" is "Jannik Sinner" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.