Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between $4,600-$5,000 (27.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (26.1%), reflecting uncertainty over gold's trajectory to June 2026 CME settlement amid volatile spot prices hovering near $4,640 per ounce. Recent upside stems from U.S. dollar weakness following soft producer price index data and Bank of Japan dovishness, alongside safe-haven bids from Iran-related geopolitical tensions, driving a fourth straight weekly gain. Key differentiators include the Federal Reserve's impending interest rate decision and first-quarter GDP release, which could recalibrate rate cut expectations—persistent inflation might cap gains below $4,600, while deeper easing or escalation risks could push toward $5,000. Treasury yields and dollar index levels remain pivotal swing factors ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,600-$5,000 28%
$4,200-$4,600 26.1%
$5,000-$5,400 15.0%
$3,800-$4,200 13.7%
$912,914 Vol.
$912,914 Vol.
<$3,800
5%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
26%
$4,600-$5,000
28%
$5,000-$5,400
15%
$5,400-$5,800
10%
$5,800-$6,200
4%
>$6,200
3%
$4,600-$5,000 28%
$4,200-$4,600 26.1%
$5,000-$5,400 15.0%
$3,800-$4,200 13.7%
$912,914 Vol.
$912,914 Vol.
<$3,800
5%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
26%
$4,600-$5,000
28%
$5,000-$5,400
15%
$5,400-$5,800
10%
$5,800-$6,200
4%
>$6,200
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between $4,600-$5,000 (27.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (26.1%), reflecting uncertainty over gold's trajectory to June 2026 CME settlement amid volatile spot prices hovering near $4,640 per ounce. Recent upside stems from U.S. dollar weakness following soft producer price index data and Bank of Japan dovishness, alongside safe-haven bids from Iran-related geopolitical tensions, driving a fourth straight weekly gain. Key differentiators include the Federal Reserve's impending interest rate decision and first-quarter GDP release, which could recalibrate rate cut expectations—persistent inflation might cap gains below $4,600, while deeper easing or escalation risks could push toward $5,000. Treasury yields and dollar index levels remain pivotal swing factors ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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