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Sports·Formula 1

F1: Action of the Year

icon for F1: Action of the Year
Sports·Formula 1

F1: Action of the Year

Kimi Antonelli 70%

Oliver Bearman 18.0%

Liam Lawson 15.8%

Nico Hulkenberg 10.3%

Polymarket

$160,365 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 70%

Oliver Bearman 18.0%

Liam Lawson 15.8%

Nico Hulkenberg 10.3%

Polymarket

$160,365 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$1,790 Vol.

56%

Oliver Bearman

$28,971 Vol.

18%

Liam Lawson

$290 Vol.

16%

Nico Hulkenberg

$241 Vol.

10%

Lewis Hamilton

$420 Vol.

7%

Fernando Alonso

$22,904 Vol.

7%

Lance Stroll

$209 Vol.

3%

Charles Leclerc

$285 Vol.

21%

George Russell

$285 Vol.

3%

Max Verstappen

$561 Vol.

2%

Valtteri Bottas

$42,811 Vol.

2%

Carlos Sainz

$3,843 Vol.

2%

Alexander Albon

$2,935 Vol.

1%

Esteban Ocon

$241 Vol.

1%

Pierre Gasly

$26,127 Vol.

1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$219 Vol.

1%

Lando Norris

$187 Vol.

1%

Sergio Perez

$26,828 Vol.

1%

Franco Colapinto

$246 Vol.

1%

Isack Hadjar

$527 Vol.

1%

Oscar Piastri

$271 Vol.

1%

Arvid Lindblad

$174 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kimi Antonelli leads the FIA Action of the Year market at 53.5% implied probability due to his dominant early 2026 campaign, including multiple poles, victories, and aggressive on-track moves while leading the drivers' championship as a Mercedes driver in only his second full season. Arvid Lindblad sits second at 26.4% as the grid's lone rookie with Racing Bulls, highlighted by a points-scoring debut and consistent midfield impact under new regulations. Oliver Bearman at 22.0% benefits from established Haas performances and prior recognition in similar categories, while established names like Charles Leclerc trail amid less standout recent incidents. The market reflects fan-voted emphasis on memorable overtakes, recoveries, and wheel-to-wheel action in the opening races, with Antonelli's pace and racecraft positioning him as the consensus frontrunner for the defining moment.

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$160,365
End Date
Dec 13, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kimi Antonelli leads the FIA Action of the Year market at 53.5% implied probability due to his dominant early 2026 campaign, including multiple poles, victories, and aggressive on-track moves while leading the drivers' championship as a Mercedes driver in only his second full season. Arvid Lindblad sits second at 26.4% as the grid's lone rookie with Racing Bulls, highlighted by a points-scoring debut and consistent midfield impact under new regulations. Oliver Bearman at 22.0% benefits from established Haas performances and prior recognition in similar categories, while established names like Charles Leclerc trail amid less standout recent incidents. The market reflects fan-voted emphasis on memorable overtakes, recoveries, and wheel-to-wheel action in the opening races, with Antonelli's pace and racecraft positioning him as the consensus frontrunner for the defining moment.

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$160,365
End Date
Dec 13, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1: Action of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 56%, followed by "Arvid Lindblad" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1: Action of the Year" has generated $160.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1: Action of the Year," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1: Action of the Year" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arvid Lindblad" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1: Action of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.