**No Level 4 CDC Travel Health Notice has been issued as of mid-June 2026, with the agency currently listing zero destinations at the “Avoid All Travel” threshold.** Recent Ebola Bundibugyo virus outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda triggered only Level 3 notices despite WHO and Africa CDC declarations of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern; official assessments cite limited confirmed cases, contained geographic spread, and low U.S. importation risk under current surveillance and response protocols. Parallel alerts for Andes virus clusters and routine dengue or malaria upticks remain at Level 2 or below. CDC criteria for Level 4 require extreme health risk with no effective precautions available—an evidentiary bar not met by present epidemiological data. Traders therefore assign roughly 75% probability that no qualifying event materializes before year-end, reflecting stable transmission patterns and measured agency thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
$71,871 Vol.
$71,871 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$71,871 Vol.
$71,871 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No Level 4 CDC Travel Health Notice has been issued as of mid-June 2026, with the agency currently listing zero destinations at the “Avoid All Travel” threshold.** Recent Ebola Bundibugyo virus outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda triggered only Level 3 notices despite WHO and Africa CDC declarations of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern; official assessments cite limited confirmed cases, contained geographic spread, and low U.S. importation risk under current surveillance and response protocols. Parallel alerts for Andes virus clusters and routine dengue or malaria upticks remain at Level 2 or below. CDC criteria for Level 4 require extreme health risk with no effective precautions available—an evidentiary bar not met by present epidemiological data. Traders therefore assign roughly 75% probability that no qualifying event materializes before year-end, reflecting stable transmission patterns and measured agency thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$71,871End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No Level 4 CDC Travel Health Notice has been issued as of mid-June 2026, with the agency currently listing zero destinations at the “Avoid All Travel” threshold.** Recent Ebola Bundibugyo virus outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda triggered only Level 3 notices despite WHO and Africa CDC declarations of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern; official assessments cite limited confirmed cases, contained geographic spread, and low U.S. importation risk under current surveillance and response protocols. Parallel alerts for Andes virus clusters and routine dengue or malaria upticks remain at Level 2 or below. CDC criteria for Level 4 require extreme health risk with no effective precautions available—an evidentiary bar not met by present epidemiological data. Traders therefore assign roughly 75% probability that no qualifying event materializes before year-end, reflecting stable transmission patterns and measured agency thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$71,871End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No Level 4 CDC Travel Health Notice has been issued as of mid-June 2026, with the agency currently listing zero destinations at the “Avoid All Travel” threshold.** Recent Ebola Bundibugyo virus outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda triggered only Level 3 notices despite WHO and Africa CDC declarations of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern; official assessments cite limited confirmed cases, contained geographic spread, and low U.S. importation risk under current surveillance and response protocols. Parallel alerts for Andes virus clusters and routine dengue or malaria upticks remain at Level 2 or below. CDC criteria for Level 4 require extreme health risk with no effective precautions available—an evidentiary bar not met by present epidemiological data. Traders therefore assign roughly 75% probability that no qualifying event materializes before year-end, reflecting stable transmission patterns and measured agency thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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