Skip to main content
icon for Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

icon for Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

$36,180 Vol.

May 25, 2026
Polymarket

$36,180 Vol.

Polymarket

Schalke 04

$663 Vol.

98%

Hannover 96

$3,514 Vol.

58%

SC Paderborn

$11,070 Vol.

44%

SV Elversberg

$650 Vol.

27%

Darmstadt 98

$547 Vol.

1%

Hertha BSC

$1,195 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Schalke 04 leads the 2. Bundesliga table with 64 points after 31 matchdays, six ahead of Paderborn and seven clear of Hannover 96, bolstered by their key Matchday 31 victory over Paderborn that extended their cushion. This positions the Royal Blues on the brink of automatic promotion to the Bundesliga, with trader consensus reflecting their strong goal difference (+20) and consistent form. Paderborn face a stern test at fourth-placed Elversberg on Matchday 32 (May 2), while Hannover host relegation-threatened Preußen Münster—outcomes that could lock in Schalke's top-two spot or ignite a scramble. Three matchdays remain until the May 17 conclusion, keeping the promotion/relegation playoff for third fiercely contested among Hannover, Elversberg, and Darmstadt.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2.

If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,180
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Schalke 04 leads the 2. Bundesliga table with 64 points after 31 matchdays, six ahead of Paderborn and seven clear of Hannover 96, bolstered by their key Matchday 31 victory over Paderborn that extended their cushion. This positions the Royal Blues on the brink of automatic promotion to the Bundesliga, with trader consensus reflecting their strong goal difference (+20) and consistent form. Paderborn face a stern test at fourth-placed Elversberg on Matchday 32 (May 2), while Hannover host relegation-threatened Preußen Münster—outcomes that could lock in Schalke's top-two spot or ignite a scramble. Three matchdays remain until the May 17 conclusion, keeping the promotion/relegation playoff for third fiercely contested among Hannover, Elversberg, and Darmstadt.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2.

If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,180
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Schalke 04" at 98%, followed by "Hannover 96" at 58%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" has generated $36.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" is "Schalke 04" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hannover 96" at 58%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.