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Sports·Ligue 1

Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1

icon for Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1
Sports·Ligue 1

Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1

$12,193 Vol.

May 25, 2026
Polymarket

$12,193 Vol.

Polymarket

Le Mans FC

$180 Vol.

76%

AS Saint-Etienne

$472 Vol.

64%

Red Star FC

$520 Vol.

18%

Stade de Reims

$1,298 Vol.

11%

Rodez AF

$308 Vol.

9%

Montpellier HSC

$44 Vol.

3%

FC Annecy

$679 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.ESTAC Troyes has clinched automatic promotion to Ligue 1 with 64 points after 32 matches, their dominant 19-7-6 record and +24 goal difference securing first place amid a strong campaign. The battle for the second automatic spot is razor-tight, with Le Mans FC (58 points) leading AS Saint-Étienne (57 points) by one, following Saint-Étienne's recent home loss and two straight defeats that stalled their momentum. Red Star FC (54 points), Stade de Reims, and Rodez AF (both 52 points) lurk for playoffs, where the top five vie in knockout format against Ligue 1's 16th for the final spot. Recent draws for Le Mans at Grenoble and key wins like Red Star's comeback keep the race on a knife-edge, with pivotal final fixtures including Reims vs. Le Mans and Saint-Étienne at Rodez deciding trader consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.

If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,193
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.ESTAC Troyes has clinched automatic promotion to Ligue 1 with 64 points after 32 matches, their dominant 19-7-6 record and +24 goal difference securing first place amid a strong campaign. The battle for the second automatic spot is razor-tight, with Le Mans FC (58 points) leading AS Saint-Étienne (57 points) by one, following Saint-Étienne's recent home loss and two straight defeats that stalled their momentum. Red Star FC (54 points), Stade de Reims, and Rodez AF (both 52 points) lurk for playoffs, where the top five vie in knockout format against Ligue 1's 16th for the final spot. Recent draws for Le Mans at Grenoble and key wins like Red Star's comeback keep the race on a knife-edge, with pivotal final fixtures including Reims vs. Le Mans and Saint-Étienne at Rodez deciding trader consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.

If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,193
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ESTAC Troyes" at 100%, followed by "Le Mans FC" at 76%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1" has generated $12.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1" is "ESTAC Troyes" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Le Mans FC" at 76%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.