Trader consensus positions Aryna Sabalenka as the slim Wimbledon favorite at 28% implied probability, reflecting her world No. 1 ranking, dominant 2026 form highlighted by serve improvements, and power game tailored to fast grass courts, despite a quarterfinal exit to Hailey Baptiste in the ongoing Madrid Open. Elena Rybakina trails closely at 20.5%, buoyed by her 2022 Wimbledon title, strong grass-court win rate around 70%, and recent Australian Open triumph over Sabalenka. Iga Świątek's 15.3% reflects her stunning 2025 Wimbledon bagel final over Amanda Anisimova but lingering questions on grass adaptation beyond that peak. The bunched top reflects an open field where big servers thrive amid low-bouncing grass, frequent upsets, and uncertain pre-French Open momentum, with no player exceeding 30% months from the July draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 28%
Elena Rybakina 21%
Iga Świątek 15.3%
Coco Gauff 7%
$4,944,340 Vol.
$4,944,340 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
28%
Elena Rybakina
21%
Iga Świątek
15%
Coco Gauff
7%
Amanda Anisimova
7%
Ons Jabeur
6%
Markéta Vondroušová
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Marie Bouzková
3%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Emma Raducanu
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Clara Tauson
1%
Maya Joint
1%
Elise Mertens
8%
Yulia Putintseva
8%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Laura Siegemund
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Barbora Krejčíková
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
McCartney Kessler
1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 28%
Elena Rybakina 21%
Iga Świątek 15.3%
Coco Gauff 7%
$4,944,340 Vol.
$4,944,340 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
28%
Elena Rybakina
21%
Iga Świątek
15%
Coco Gauff
7%
Amanda Anisimova
7%
Ons Jabeur
6%
Markéta Vondroušová
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Marie Bouzková
3%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Emma Raducanu
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Clara Tauson
1%
Maya Joint
1%
Elise Mertens
8%
Yulia Putintseva
8%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Laura Siegemund
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Barbora Krejčíková
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
McCartney Kessler
1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Aryna Sabalenka as the slim Wimbledon favorite at 28% implied probability, reflecting her world No. 1 ranking, dominant 2026 form highlighted by serve improvements, and power game tailored to fast grass courts, despite a quarterfinal exit to Hailey Baptiste in the ongoing Madrid Open. Elena Rybakina trails closely at 20.5%, buoyed by her 2022 Wimbledon title, strong grass-court win rate around 70%, and recent Australian Open triumph over Sabalenka. Iga Świątek's 15.3% reflects her stunning 2025 Wimbledon bagel final over Amanda Anisimova but lingering questions on grass adaptation beyond that peak. The bunched top reflects an open field where big servers thrive amid low-bouncing grass, frequent upsets, and uncertain pre-French Open momentum, with no player exceeding 30% months from the July draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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