Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 31.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's French Open, propelled by her world No. 1 ranking and dominant 25-1 record this season, including a strong run to the Madrid Open fourth round on clay where she posted routine wins like 6-1, 6-4. Elena Rybakina's No. 2 position and consistent form underpin her 12.3% share, while Mirra Andreeva's breakout campaign—undefeated on clay in 2026, two WTA titles including Linz, and a Madrid semifinal berth after saving three set points versus Leylah Fernandez—elevates her to 8.8%. Iga Świątek trails at 18.5% amid a below-par hardcourt start, a drop to No. 4, new coach Francisco Roig, and a Madrid withdrawal due to illness, tempering her clay pedigree despite past Roland Garros triumphs. Coco Gauff rounds out the top five at 8.5% as No. 3. With Rome next, ongoing Madrid results continue shaping sentiment ahead of late-May Roland Garros.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 32%
Iga Świątek 19%
Elena Rybakina 12.3%
Mirra Andreeva 8.8%
$2,607,157 Vol.
$2,607,157 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
32%
Iga Świątek
19%
Elena Rybakina
12%
Mirra Andreeva
9%
Coco Gauff
9%
Marta Kostyuk
3%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Victoria Mboko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Alexandra Eala
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 32%
Iga Świątek 19%
Elena Rybakina 12.3%
Mirra Andreeva 8.8%
$2,607,157 Vol.
$2,607,157 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
32%
Iga Świątek
19%
Elena Rybakina
12%
Mirra Andreeva
9%
Coco Gauff
9%
Marta Kostyuk
3%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Victoria Mboko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Alexandra Eala
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 31.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's French Open, propelled by her world No. 1 ranking and dominant 25-1 record this season, including a strong run to the Madrid Open fourth round on clay where she posted routine wins like 6-1, 6-4. Elena Rybakina's No. 2 position and consistent form underpin her 12.3% share, while Mirra Andreeva's breakout campaign—undefeated on clay in 2026, two WTA titles including Linz, and a Madrid semifinal berth after saving three set points versus Leylah Fernandez—elevates her to 8.8%. Iga Świątek trails at 18.5% amid a below-par hardcourt start, a drop to No. 4, new coach Francisco Roig, and a Madrid withdrawal due to illness, tempering her clay pedigree despite past Roland Garros triumphs. Coco Gauff rounds out the top five at 8.5% as No. 3. With Rome next, ongoing Madrid results continue shaping sentiment ahead of late-May Roland Garros.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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