Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 31.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's French Open, fueled by her dominant 25-1 record this year, Sunshine Double titles, and strong clay-court transition evident in ongoing Mutua Madrid Open wins like over Stearns. Iga Świątek, three-time Roland Garros champion with unmatched clay pedigree (8-1 head-to-head edge on the surface), trails at 18% after a confident 6-1, 6-2 Madrid third-round rout of Snigur signaling resurgence from an uneven start (just 14 wins entering). Elena Rybakina's 11.1% reflects her WTA race lead and recent Stuttgart indoor-clay title, while Mirra Andreeva's 8.6% highlights breakout momentum amid the top-heavy draw and no major injury disruptions for frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 32%
Iga Świątek 18%
Elena Rybakina 11.1%
Mirra Andreeva 8.5%
$2,600,352 Vol.
$2,600,352 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
32%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
11%
Mirra Andreeva
9%
Coco Gauff
8%
Marta Kostyuk
3%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Alexandra Eala
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 32%
Iga Świątek 18%
Elena Rybakina 11.1%
Mirra Andreeva 8.5%
$2,600,352 Vol.
$2,600,352 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
32%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
11%
Mirra Andreeva
9%
Coco Gauff
8%
Marta Kostyuk
3%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Alexandra Eala
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 31.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's French Open, fueled by her dominant 25-1 record this year, Sunshine Double titles, and strong clay-court transition evident in ongoing Mutua Madrid Open wins like over Stearns. Iga Świątek, three-time Roland Garros champion with unmatched clay pedigree (8-1 head-to-head edge on the surface), trails at 18% after a confident 6-1, 6-2 Madrid third-round rout of Snigur signaling resurgence from an uneven start (just 14 wins entering). Elena Rybakina's 11.1% reflects her WTA race lead and recent Stuttgart indoor-clay title, while Mirra Andreeva's 8.6% highlights breakout momentum amid the top-heavy draw and no major injury disruptions for frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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