Gavin McKenna's dominance as the consensus top prospect for the 2026 NHL Entry Draft has driven his 81% implied probability, bolstered by NHL Central Scouting's final rankings released April 16 naming him the No. 1 North American skater ahead of the Buffalo draft by a wide margin after his Hobey Baker finalist freshman season at Penn State, where he claimed the Big Ten scoring title with 51 points in 35 games. Ivar Stenberg holds the No. 2 spot at 8.8% as the top international skater with Frölunda HC in the SHL, reflecting his elite production against men. Trailing options like Alberts Smits (2.1%), Chase Reid (1.9%), and Keaton Verhoeff (1.6%) align with their mid-top-10 rankings across scouting services, with trader consensus awaiting U-18 Worlds showings amid stable pre-draft positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGavin McKenna 83%
Ivar Stenberg 8.8%
Keaton Verhoeff 1.5%
Nikita Shcherbakov <1%
$1,256,044 Vol.
$1,256,044 Vol.
Gavin McKenna
83%
Ivar Stenberg
9%
Keaton Verhoeff
2%
Nikita Shcherbakov
1%
Alberts Smits
1%
Ethan Belchetz
<1%
Chase Reid
<1%
Carson Carels
<1%
Viggo Björck
<1%
Mathis Preston
<1%
Adam Novotný
<1%
JP Hurlbert
<1%
Oscar Hemming
<1%
Ilya Morozov
<1%
Brooks Rogowski
<1%
Adam Nemec
<1%
Tynan Lawrence
<1%
Caleb Malhotra
<1%
Ryan Lin
<1%
Daxon Rudolph
<1%
Elton Hermansson
<1%
Juho Piiparinen
<1%
Marcus Nordmark
<1%
Alexander Command
<1%
Yegor Shilov
<1%
William Hakansson
<1%
Nikita Klepov
<1%
Pierce Mbuyi
<1%
Ryan Roobroeck
<1%
Tomas Chrenko
<1%
Jack Hextall
<1%
Niklas Aaram-Olsen
<1%
Wyatt Cullen
<1%
Alessandro Di Iorio
<1%
Giorgos Pantelas
<1%
Jaxon Cover
<1%
Adam Goljer
<1%
Beckham Edwards
<1%
Simas Ignatavicius
<1%
Liam Ruck
<1%
Victor Plante
<1%
Luke Schairer
<1%
Casey Mutryn
<1%
Mikey Berchild
<1%
Xavier Villeneuve
<1%
Oliver Suvanto
<1%
Malte Gustafsson
<1%
Maddox Dagenais
<1%
Adam Valentini
<1%
Oscar Holmertz
<1%
Gavin McKenna 83%
Ivar Stenberg 8.8%
Keaton Verhoeff 1.5%
Nikita Shcherbakov <1%
$1,256,044 Vol.
$1,256,044 Vol.
Gavin McKenna
83%
Ivar Stenberg
9%
Keaton Verhoeff
2%
Nikita Shcherbakov
1%
Alberts Smits
1%
Ethan Belchetz
<1%
Chase Reid
<1%
Carson Carels
<1%
Viggo Björck
<1%
Mathis Preston
<1%
Adam Novotný
<1%
JP Hurlbert
<1%
Oscar Hemming
<1%
Ilya Morozov
<1%
Brooks Rogowski
<1%
Adam Nemec
<1%
Tynan Lawrence
<1%
Caleb Malhotra
<1%
Ryan Lin
<1%
Daxon Rudolph
<1%
Elton Hermansson
<1%
Juho Piiparinen
<1%
Marcus Nordmark
<1%
Alexander Command
<1%
Yegor Shilov
<1%
William Hakansson
<1%
Nikita Klepov
<1%
Pierce Mbuyi
<1%
Ryan Roobroeck
<1%
Tomas Chrenko
<1%
Jack Hextall
<1%
Niklas Aaram-Olsen
<1%
Wyatt Cullen
<1%
Alessandro Di Iorio
<1%
Giorgos Pantelas
<1%
Jaxon Cover
<1%
Adam Goljer
<1%
Beckham Edwards
<1%
Simas Ignatavicius
<1%
Liam Ruck
<1%
Victor Plante
<1%
Luke Schairer
<1%
Casey Mutryn
<1%
Mikey Berchild
<1%
Xavier Villeneuve
<1%
Oliver Suvanto
<1%
Malte Gustafsson
<1%
Maddox Dagenais
<1%
Adam Valentini
<1%
Oscar Holmertz
<1%
If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.
If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.
If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gavin McKenna's dominance as the consensus top prospect for the 2026 NHL Entry Draft has driven his 81% implied probability, bolstered by NHL Central Scouting's final rankings released April 16 naming him the No. 1 North American skater ahead of the Buffalo draft by a wide margin after his Hobey Baker finalist freshman season at Penn State, where he claimed the Big Ten scoring title with 51 points in 35 games. Ivar Stenberg holds the No. 2 spot at 8.8% as the top international skater with Frölunda HC in the SHL, reflecting his elite production against men. Trailing options like Alberts Smits (2.1%), Chase Reid (1.9%), and Keaton Verhoeff (1.6%) align with their mid-top-10 rankings across scouting services, with trader consensus awaiting U-18 Worlds showings amid stable pre-draft positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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