Jannik Sinner's trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability for the 2026 French Open reflects his commanding clay-court form, highlighted by his Monte Carlo Masters 1000 triumph two weeks ago where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final and Alexander Zverev in the semifinals, reclaiming the world No. 1 ranking. Alcaraz's withdrawal from Roland Garros due to a right wrist injury—announced last week—has cratered his odds to 0.6%, clearing Sinner's path amid the ongoing Madrid Open where he's advanced to the quarterfinals against surging Spaniard Rafael Jodar (2.5%). Zverev (7.5%) and Novak Djokovic (5.6%) trail with strong historical clay records and semifinal runs in recent Masters, while French hopefuls Arthur Fils (4.4%) and Lorenzo Musetti (2.8%) benefit from home-crowd momentum ahead of Rome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJannik Sinner 67%
Alexander Zverev 7.5%
Novak Djokovic 5.6%
Arthur Fils 4.5%
$22,801,735 Vol.
$22,801,735 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
67%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Arthur Fils
5%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Rafael Jodar
2%
Casper Ruud
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Carlos Alcaraz
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
<1%
Jakub Mensik
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Taylor Fritz
<1%
Alex De Minaur
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Jannik Sinner 67%
Alexander Zverev 7.5%
Novak Djokovic 5.6%
Arthur Fils 4.5%
$22,801,735 Vol.
$22,801,735 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
67%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Arthur Fils
5%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Rafael Jodar
2%
Casper Ruud
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Carlos Alcaraz
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
<1%
Jakub Mensik
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Taylor Fritz
<1%
Alex De Minaur
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability for the 2026 French Open reflects his commanding clay-court form, highlighted by his Monte Carlo Masters 1000 triumph two weeks ago where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final and Alexander Zverev in the semifinals, reclaiming the world No. 1 ranking. Alcaraz's withdrawal from Roland Garros due to a right wrist injury—announced last week—has cratered his odds to 0.6%, clearing Sinner's path amid the ongoing Madrid Open where he's advanced to the quarterfinals against surging Spaniard Rafael Jodar (2.5%). Zverev (7.5%) and Novak Djokovic (5.6%) trail with strong historical clay records and semifinal runs in recent Masters, while French hopefuls Arthur Fils (4.4%) and Lorenzo Musetti (2.8%) benefit from home-crowd momentum ahead of Rome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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