Jannik Sinner dominates trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability to win the 2026 French Open, fueled by his straight-sets Monte-Carlo Masters victory over Carlos Alcaraz two weeks ago—reclaiming world No. 1 and extending his Masters streak—plus strong showings in Madrid where he reached semifinals against Arthur Fils. Alcaraz's recent wrist injury has sidelined the defending champion for Roland Garros, Rome, and Madrid, cratering his odds to 0.6%, while Novak Djokovic's shoulder issues and minimal clay prep cap him at 5.5%. Alexander Zverev (7.5%) benefits from consistent clay deep runs and four prior Roland Garros semifinals, with French prospects like Fils (4.6%) gaining from home-crowd momentum amid an open draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJannik Sinner 67%
Alexander Zverev 7.5%
Novak Djokovic 5.5%
Arthur Fils 4.6%
$22,849,798 Vol.
$22,849,798 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Jannik Sinner
67%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Arthur Fils
5%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Rafael Jodar
3%
Casper Ruud
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Carlos Alcaraz
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
<1%
Jakub Mensik
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Taylor Fritz
<1%
Alex De Minaur
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Jannik Sinner 67%
Alexander Zverev 7.5%
Novak Djokovic 5.5%
Arthur Fils 4.6%
$22,849,798 Vol.
$22,849,798 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Jannik Sinner
$409,527 Vol.
67%
Alexander Zverev
$451,716 Vol.
8%
Novak Djokovic
$424,101 Vol.
6%
Arthur Fils
$384,655 Vol.
5%
Lorenzo Musetti
$8,079,238 Vol.
3%
Rafael Jodar
$134,059 Vol.
3%
Casper Ruud
$216,905 Vol.
2%
Joao Fonseca
$7,363,510 Vol.
1%
Flavio Cobolli
$179,199 Vol.
1%
Daniil Medvedev
$241,946 Vol.
1%
Carlos Alcaraz
$500,643 Vol.
1%
Ben Shelton
$358,264 Vol.
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
$151,922 Vol.
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
$221,177 Vol.
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
$192,686 Vol.
<1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
$147,530 Vol.
<1%
Jakub Mensik
$133,854 Vol.
<1%
Jack Draper
$287,486 Vol.
<1%
Alexander Bublik
$128,500 Vol.
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
$83,157 Vol.
<1%
Taylor Fritz
$170,306 Vol.
<1%
Alex De Minaur
$127,676 Vol.
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
$153,068 Vol.
<1%
Karen Khachanov
$88,912 Vol.
<1%
Andrey Rublev
$223,542 Vol.
<1%
Learner Tien
$241,731 Vol.
<1%
Tommy Paul
$104,216 Vol.
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
$120,978 Vol.
<1%
Marin Cilic
$78,904 Vol.
<1%
Alex Michelsen
$114,070 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Norrie
$105,625 Vol.
<1%
Sebastian Korda
$192,023 Vol.
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
$141,811 Vol.
<1%
Ugo Humbert
$117,499 Vol.
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
$94,523 Vol.
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
$84,704 Vol.
<1%
Reilly Opelka
$124,182 Vol.
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
$92,178 Vol.
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
$142,083 Vol.
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
$160,930 Vol.
<1%
Tomas Machac
$80,879 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner dominates trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability to win the 2026 French Open, fueled by his straight-sets Monte-Carlo Masters victory over Carlos Alcaraz two weeks ago—reclaiming world No. 1 and extending his Masters streak—plus strong showings in Madrid where he reached semifinals against Arthur Fils. Alcaraz's recent wrist injury has sidelined the defending champion for Roland Garros, Rome, and Madrid, cratering his odds to 0.6%, while Novak Djokovic's shoulder issues and minimal clay prep cap him at 5.5%. Alexander Zverev (7.5%) benefits from consistent clay deep runs and four prior Roland Garros semifinals, with French prospects like Fils (4.6%) gaining from home-crowd momentum amid an open draw.
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Volume
$22,849,798End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner dominates trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability to win the 2026 French Open, fueled by his straight-sets Monte-Carlo Masters victory over Carlos Alcaraz two weeks ago—reclaiming world No. 1 and extending his Masters streak—plus strong showings in Madrid where he reached semifinals against Arthur Fils. Alcaraz's recent wrist injury has sidelined the defending champion for Roland Garros, Rome, and Madrid, cratering his odds to 0.6%, while Novak Djokovic's shoulder issues and minimal clay prep cap him at 5.5%. Alexander Zverev (7.5%) benefits from consistent clay deep runs and four prior Roland Garros semifinals, with French prospects like Fils (4.6%) gaining from home-crowd momentum amid an open draw.
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,849,798End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner dominates trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability to win the 2026 French Open, fueled by his straight-sets Monte-Carlo Masters victory over Carlos Alcaraz two weeks ago—reclaiming world No. 1 and extending his Masters streak—plus strong showings in Madrid where he reached semifinals against Arthur Fils. Alcaraz's recent wrist injury has sidelined the defending champion for Roland Garros, Rome, and Madrid, cratering his odds to 0.6%, while Novak Djokovic's shoulder issues and minimal clay prep cap him at 5.5%. Alexander Zverev (7.5%) benefits from consistent clay deep runs and four prior Roland Garros semifinals, with French prospects like Fils (4.6%) gaining from home-crowd momentum amid an open draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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