Cameron Young's bogey-free 8-under 64 in the opening round at Trump National Doral's Blue Monster Course, fueled by a hot putter and clutch conversions, has propelled him to a one-shot lead over Jordan Spieth and Alex Smalley (both 65), cementing trader consensus at 34.5% implied probability for the PGA Tour signature event winner. Spieth's strong ball-striking and Smalley's steady play keep them viable at 11.3% and 7.0%, while world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler's T27 position after Round 1 tempers his 10.5% odds despite course history. Jordan L. Smith's 16.0% reflects recent form momentum amid Round 2's early stages on the demanding 7,739-yard layout, where putting and approach play dominate early separation. No major withdrawals or weather disruptions reported.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCameron Young 35%
Jordan Spieth 11.8%
Scottie Scheffler 11%
Alex Smalley 7.0%
$77,242 Vol.
$77,242 Vol.
Cameron Young
35%
Jordan Spieth
12%
Scottie Scheffler
11%
Alex Smalley
7%
JT Poston
5%
Michael Kim
5%
Austin Smotherman
5%
Matt Wallace
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Gary Woodland
2%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Nicolas Echavarria
2%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Nick Taylor
1%
Tom Hoge
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Jason Day
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Max Homa
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Sam Stevens
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
Joel Dahmen
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Viktor Hovland
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Alexander Noren
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
J.J. Spaun
<1%
Michael Thorbjornsen
<1%
Jhonattan Vegas
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Jordan L. Smith
14%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Cameron Young 35%
Jordan Spieth 11.8%
Scottie Scheffler 11%
Alex Smalley 7.0%
$77,242 Vol.
$77,242 Vol.
Cameron Young
35%
Jordan Spieth
12%
Scottie Scheffler
11%
Alex Smalley
7%
JT Poston
5%
Michael Kim
5%
Austin Smotherman
5%
Matt Wallace
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Gary Woodland
2%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Nicolas Echavarria
2%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Nick Taylor
1%
Tom Hoge
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Jason Day
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Max Homa
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Sam Stevens
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
Joel Dahmen
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Viktor Hovland
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Alexander Noren
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
J.J. Spaun
<1%
Michael Thorbjornsen
<1%
Jhonattan Vegas
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Jordan L. Smith
14%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Cadillac Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Cadillac Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by May 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Cadillac Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Cadillac Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by May 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cameron Young's bogey-free 8-under 64 in the opening round at Trump National Doral's Blue Monster Course, fueled by a hot putter and clutch conversions, has propelled him to a one-shot lead over Jordan Spieth and Alex Smalley (both 65), cementing trader consensus at 34.5% implied probability for the PGA Tour signature event winner. Spieth's strong ball-striking and Smalley's steady play keep them viable at 11.3% and 7.0%, while world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler's T27 position after Round 1 tempers his 10.5% odds despite course history. Jordan L. Smith's 16.0% reflects recent form momentum amid Round 2's early stages on the demanding 7,739-yard layout, where putting and approach play dominate early separation. No major withdrawals or weather disruptions reported.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions