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Política·Elección Principal

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia

icon for Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia
Política·Elección Principal

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia

Hakainde Hichilema 79%

Brian Mundubile 14%

Fred M'membe 2.2%

Polymarket

$20,698 Vol.

Hakainde Hichilema 79%

Brian Mundubile 14%

Fred M'membe 2.2%

Polymarket

$20,698 Vol.

icon for Hakainde Hichilema

Hakainde Hichilema

$4,107 Vol.

79%

icon for Brian Mundubile

Brian Mundubile

$15,510 Vol.

14%

icon for Fred M'membe

Fred M'membe

$1,082 Vol.

2%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Hakainde Hichilema, the incumbent UPND president seeking a second term, holds a dominant position in the August 13, 2026, Zambian presidential race due to recent opinion polls showing him ahead by roughly 25 points and endorsements from several smaller parties in the UPND alliance. Nominations closed in late May with 14 approved candidates after Hichilema and opposition figures including Brian Mundubile of the FDD-led Tonse Alliance and Fred M'membe of the Socialist Party filed papers. Traders price in Hichilema's advantages from his first-term economic record and opposition fragmentation, while Mundubile and M'membe trail amid concerns over electoral commission composition and limited polling support. Campaigning has just begun, with corruption, debt management, and youth employment emerging as central issues that could influence turnout in this first-past-the-post contest.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volumen
$20,698
Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Hakainde Hichilema, the incumbent UPND president seeking a second term, holds a dominant position in the August 13, 2026, Zambian presidential race due to recent opinion polls showing him ahead by roughly 25 points and endorsements from several smaller parties in the UPND alliance. Nominations closed in late May with 14 approved candidates after Hichilema and opposition figures including Brian Mundubile of the FDD-led Tonse Alliance and Fred M'membe of the Socialist Party filed papers. Traders price in Hichilema's advantages from his first-term economic record and opposition fragmentation, while Mundubile and M'membe trail amid concerns over electoral commission composition and limited polling support. Campaigning has just begun, with corruption, debt management, and youth employment emerging as central issues that could influence turnout in this first-past-the-post contest.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volumen
$20,698
Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Hakainde Hichilema" con 79%, seguido de "Brian Mundubile" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 79¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 79% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia" ha generado $20.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia" es "Hakainde Hichilema" con 79%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 79% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Brian Mundubile" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Zambia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.