Trump has repeatedly stated he has not thought about or actively considered pardoning Ghislaine Maxwell, while noting he has not ruled it out and would consult the Department of Justice. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, a former Trump attorney, publicly committed against recommending clemency during Senate testimony. Bipartisan congressional opposition has intensified, including Senate resolutions and House Oversight Committee pushback citing Maxwell’s conviction for sex trafficking involving minors and her refusal to testify without assurances of relief. Recent Epstein files releases and related controversies have heightened political risks, with Maxwell’s lawyer acknowledging poor timing despite expressing optimism about eventual clemency. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 86% probability for no pardon by the end of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$682,406 Vol.
$682,406 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$682,406 Vol.
$682,406 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has repeatedly stated he has not thought about or actively considered pardoning Ghislaine Maxwell, while noting he has not ruled it out and would consult the Department of Justice. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, a former Trump attorney, publicly committed against recommending clemency during Senate testimony. Bipartisan congressional opposition has intensified, including Senate resolutions and House Oversight Committee pushback citing Maxwell’s conviction for sex trafficking involving minors and her refusal to testify without assurances of relief. Recent Epstein files releases and related controversies have heightened political risks, with Maxwell’s lawyer acknowledging poor timing despite expressing optimism about eventual clemency. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 86% probability for no pardon by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volumen
$682,406Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has repeatedly stated he has not thought about or actively considered pardoning Ghislaine Maxwell, while noting he has not ruled it out and would consult the Department of Justice. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, a former Trump attorney, publicly committed against recommending clemency during Senate testimony. Bipartisan congressional opposition has intensified, including Senate resolutions and House Oversight Committee pushback citing Maxwell’s conviction for sex trafficking involving minors and her refusal to testify without assurances of relief. Recent Epstein files releases and related controversies have heightened political risks, with Maxwell’s lawyer acknowledging poor timing despite expressing optimism about eventual clemency. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 86% probability for no pardon by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$682,406Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trump has repeatedly stated he has not thought about or actively considered pardoning Ghislaine Maxwell, while noting he has not ruled it out and would consult the Department of Justice. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, a former Trump attorney, publicly committed against recommending clemency during Senate testimony. Bipartisan congressional opposition has intensified, including Senate resolutions and House Oversight Committee pushback citing Maxwell’s conviction for sex trafficking involving minors and her refusal to testify without assurances of relief. Recent Epstein files releases and related controversies have heightened political risks, with Maxwell’s lawyer acknowledging poor timing despite expressing optimism about eventual clemency. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 86% probability for no pardon by the end of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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