Trader consensus reflects a 90.5% implied probability against President Trump issuing a pardon to Ghislaine Maxwell, convicted of sex trafficking in the Jeffrey Epstein case and serving a 20-year federal sentence, by the end of 2026, driven by the absence of any White House signals or official actions despite recent speculation. Maxwell's attorney publicly expressed optimism for clemency last week, while House Oversight Committee Chair James Comer noted some Republican members open to a pardon for her potential testimony on Epstein, but this prompted swift bipartisan backlash—including from GOP Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, who ruled it out, and Democrats decrying it as offensive to survivors—highlighting significant political barriers and risks amid Trump's focus on other priorities. No scheduled hearings or deadlines alter this dynamic.