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icon for ¿Trump perdonará a Ghislaine Maxwell a finales de 2026?

¿Trump perdonará a Ghislaine Maxwell a finales de 2026?

icon for ¿Trump perdonará a Ghislaine Maxwell a finales de 2026?

¿Trump perdonará a Ghislaine Maxwell a finales de 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

10% probabilidad
Polymarket

$552,038 Vol.

10% probabilidad
Polymarket

$552,038 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.House Oversight Committee Chair James Comer revealed last week that some Republican members are open to President Trump granting clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell in exchange for her testimony on Jeffrey Epstein's network, prompting swift bipartisan backlash including Democratic condemnations and a statement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna affirming no pardon is forthcoming. Maxwell, serving a 20-year sentence for sex trafficking minors, invoked her Fifth Amendment rights in a prior deposition while conditioning cooperation on immunity, but Trump has issued no public statements supporting a pardon amid intense victim opposition and political risks tied to the high-profile conviction. Traders price "No" at 90.5% reflecting this consensus, with barriers like public scrutiny and Trump's other priorities outweighing speculative congressional talks; only a major Epstein revelation or direct White House signal could shift odds before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$552,038
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.House Oversight Committee Chair James Comer revealed last week that some Republican members are open to President Trump granting clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell in exchange for her testimony on Jeffrey Epstein's network, prompting swift bipartisan backlash including Democratic condemnations and a statement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna affirming no pardon is forthcoming. Maxwell, serving a 20-year sentence for sex trafficking minors, invoked her Fifth Amendment rights in a prior deposition while conditioning cooperation on immunity, but Trump has issued no public statements supporting a pardon amid intense victim opposition and political risks tied to the high-profile conviction. Traders price "No" at 90.5% reflecting this consensus, with barriers like public scrutiny and Trump's other priorities outweighing speculative congressional talks; only a major Epstein revelation or direct White House signal could shift odds before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$552,038
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump perdonará a Ghislaine Maxwell a finales de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Concederá Trump un indulto a Ghislaine Maxwell para finales de 2026?" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 10¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump perdonará a Ghislaine Maxwell a finales de 2026?" ha generado $552K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump perdonará a Ghislaine Maxwell a finales de 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump perdonará a Ghislaine Maxwell a finales de 2026?" es "¿Concederá Trump un indulto a Ghislaine Maxwell para finales de 2026?" con 10%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump perdonará a Ghislaine Maxwell a finales de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.