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icon for ¿Quién asistirá a la Cumbre de la OTAN?

¿Quién asistirá a la Cumbre de la OTAN?

icon for ¿Quién asistirá a la Cumbre de la OTAN?

¿Quién asistirá a la Cumbre de la OTAN?

$105,747 Vol.

8 jul 2026
Polymarket

$105,747 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$45,848 Vol.

91%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$57,894 Vol.

90%

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$2,006 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 NATO Summit, scheduled for July 7-8 in Ankara under Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s hosting, convenes heads of state and government from all 32 member nations along with Secretary General Mark Rutte. Trader focus centers on U.S. participation following Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s June 3 confirmation that President Donald Trump will attend, easing prior uncertainty tied to alliance burden-sharing debates. Key agenda items include defense spending targets, deterrence planning, and support for Ukraine, with outcomes influenced by bilateral diplomacy and any last-minute schedule adjustments among leaders. Historical patterns show near-full attendance by qualifying officials absent health or political disruptions, though markets track specific high-profile confirmations amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$105,747
Fecha de finalización
8 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 NATO Summit, scheduled for July 7-8 in Ankara under Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s hosting, convenes heads of state and government from all 32 member nations along with Secretary General Mark Rutte. Trader focus centers on U.S. participation following Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s June 3 confirmation that President Donald Trump will attend, easing prior uncertainty tied to alliance burden-sharing debates. Key agenda items include defense spending targets, deterrence planning, and support for Ukraine, with outcomes influenced by bilateral diplomacy and any last-minute schedule adjustments among leaders. Historical patterns show near-full attendance by qualifying officials absent health or political disruptions, though markets track specific high-profile confirmations amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$105,747
Fecha de finalización
8 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién asistirá a la Cumbre de la OTAN?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Marco Rubio" con 91%, seguido de "Donald Trump" con 90%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién asistirá a la Cumbre de la OTAN?" ha generado $105.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién asistirá a la Cumbre de la OTAN?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién asistirá a la Cumbre de la OTAN?" es "Marco Rubio" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Donald Trump" con 90%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién asistirá a la Cumbre de la OTAN?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.