Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to a right wrist injury—following his earlier pullout from Madrid—has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% for "None" achieving a calendar Grand Slam, as he was the only player with a realistic path after defeating Novak Djokovic to win the Australian Open in February. The 22-year-old completed his career Grand Slam on hard courts in Melbourne but now cannot contest the clay-court major, eliminating his chances of sweeping all four majors (Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, US Open) in one year amid the sport's grueling surface transitions and injury risks. While historical precedent is rare—last men's calendar Slam by Rod Laver in 1969—a miraculous recovery allowing Alcaraz to return for Roland Garros and dominate the remaining Slams could shift odds, though traders price this at just 0.1% implied probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$275,066 Vol.
$275,066 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Ninguno
100%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
$275,066 Vol.
$275,066 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Ninguno
$108,444 Vol.
100%
Carlos Alcaraz
$72,492 Vol.
<1%
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to a right wrist injury—following his earlier pullout from Madrid—has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% for "None" achieving a calendar Grand Slam, as he was the only player with a realistic path after defeating Novak Djokovic to win the Australian Open in February. The 22-year-old completed his career Grand Slam on hard courts in Melbourne but now cannot contest the clay-court major, eliminating his chances of sweeping all four majors (Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, US Open) in one year amid the sport's grueling surface transitions and injury risks. While historical precedent is rare—last men's calendar Slam by Rod Laver in 1969—a miraculous recovery allowing Alcaraz to return for Roland Garros and dominate the remaining Slams could shift odds, though traders price this at just 0.1% implied probability.
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volumen
$275,066Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to a right wrist injury—following his earlier pullout from Madrid—has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% for "None" achieving a calendar Grand Slam, as he was the only player with a realistic path after defeating Novak Djokovic to win the Australian Open in February. The 22-year-old completed his career Grand Slam on hard courts in Melbourne but now cannot contest the clay-court major, eliminating his chances of sweeping all four majors (Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, US Open) in one year amid the sport's grueling surface transitions and injury risks. While historical precedent is rare—last men's calendar Slam by Rod Laver in 1969—a miraculous recovery allowing Alcaraz to return for Roland Garros and dominate the remaining Slams could shift odds, though traders price this at just 0.1% implied probability.
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$275,066Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to a right wrist injury—following his earlier pullout from Madrid—has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% for "None" achieving a calendar Grand Slam, as he was the only player with a realistic path after defeating Novak Djokovic to win the Australian Open in February. The 22-year-old completed his career Grand Slam on hard courts in Melbourne but now cannot contest the clay-court major, eliminating his chances of sweeping all four majors (Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, US Open) in one year amid the sport's grueling surface transitions and injury risks. While historical precedent is rare—last men's calendar Slam by Rod Laver in 1969—a miraculous recovery allowing Alcaraz to return for Roland Garros and dominate the remaining Slams could shift odds, though traders price this at just 0.1% implied probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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