Trader consensus heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 74.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by mid-April reports of explosive long-lead box office tracking—unprecedented for a post-Endgame MCU film eight months out—fueled by Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting, Russo brothers' return, and massive ensemble hype positioning it to challenge Endgame's $357 million debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 14% on its July 31 summer slot and strong trailer buzz projecting $1.1 billion domestic totals, while Toy Story 5's June 19 family appeal holds 3%. Dune: Messiah's same-day December 18 clash adds rivalry, but MCU event gravity dominates; watch CinemaCon reveals and presale surges for shifts amid volatile tracking.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué película tiene el mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
¿Qué película tiene el mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
Toy Story 5 3.0%
La Odisea 1.4%
$1,486,570 Vol.
$1,486,570 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
14%
Toy Story 5
3%
La Odisea
1%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Michael
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
Toy Story 5 3.0%
La Odisea 1.4%
$1,486,570 Vol.
$1,486,570 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$114,334 Vol.
75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$41,188 Vol.
14%
Toy Story 5
$181,129 Vol.
3%
La Odisea
$141,811 Vol.
1%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy
$10,727 Vol.
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$32,776 Vol.
1%
Dune: Messiah
$83,722 Vol.
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$58,482 Vol.
<1%
Michael
$540,415 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 74.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by mid-April reports of explosive long-lead box office tracking—unprecedented for a post-Endgame MCU film eight months out—fueled by Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting, Russo brothers' return, and massive ensemble hype positioning it to challenge Endgame's $357 million debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 14% on its July 31 summer slot and strong trailer buzz projecting $1.1 billion domestic totals, while Toy Story 5's June 19 family appeal holds 3%. Dune: Messiah's same-day December 18 clash adds rivalry, but MCU event gravity dominates; watch CinemaCon reveals and presale surges for shifts amid volatile tracking.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,486,570Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 74.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by mid-April reports of explosive long-lead box office tracking—unprecedented for a post-Endgame MCU film eight months out—fueled by Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting, Russo brothers' return, and massive ensemble hype positioning it to challenge Endgame's $357 million debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 14% on its July 31 summer slot and strong trailer buzz projecting $1.1 billion domestic totals, while Toy Story 5's June 19 family appeal holds 3%. Dune: Messiah's same-day December 18 clash adds rivalry, but MCU event gravity dominates; watch CinemaCon reveals and presale surges for shifts amid volatile tracking.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$1,486,570Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 74.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by mid-April reports of explosive long-lead box office tracking—unprecedented for a post-Endgame MCU film eight months out—fueled by Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting, Russo brothers' return, and massive ensemble hype positioning it to challenge Endgame's $357 million debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 14% on its July 31 summer slot and strong trailer buzz projecting $1.1 billion domestic totals, while Toy Story 5's June 19 family appeal holds 3%. Dune: Messiah's same-day December 18 clash adds rivalry, but MCU event gravity dominates; watch CinemaCon reveals and presale surges for shifts amid volatile tracking.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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