Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release, massive MCU event status with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom alongside other high-profile stars, and overwhelming industry tracking that positions it as a potential record-breaking opener. Recent post-production updates and insider polls have reinforced this momentum, echoing historical patterns for Avengers films. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on its July 31 date and solid early trailer response, though it lacks equivalent event-level hype. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which already posted a strong $132 million domestic debut in April, sits at just 4.5% as later releases now dominate expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include further marketing pushes and any date shifts that could intensify competition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 7.8%
Toy Story 5 1.9%
$21,102 Vol.
$21,102 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
8%
Toy Story 5
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 7.8%
Toy Story 5 1.9%
$21,102 Vol.
$21,102 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,333 Vol.
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$1,191 Vol.
37%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$1,333 Vol.
8%
Toy Story 5
$816 Vol.
2%
Dune: Messiah
$1,062 Vol.
1%
The Odyssey
$1,213 Vol.
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1,116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release, massive MCU event status with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom alongside other high-profile stars, and overwhelming industry tracking that positions it as a potential record-breaking opener. Recent post-production updates and insider polls have reinforced this momentum, echoing historical patterns for Avengers films. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on its July 31 date and solid early trailer response, though it lacks equivalent event-level hype. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which already posted a strong $132 million domestic debut in April, sits at just 4.5% as later releases now dominate expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include further marketing pushes and any date shifts that could intensify competition.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$21,102Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release, massive MCU event status with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom alongside other high-profile stars, and overwhelming industry tracking that positions it as a potential record-breaking opener. Recent post-production updates and insider polls have reinforced this momentum, echoing historical patterns for Avengers films. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on its July 31 date and solid early trailer response, though it lacks equivalent event-level hype. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which already posted a strong $132 million domestic debut in April, sits at just 4.5% as later releases now dominate expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include further marketing pushes and any date shifts that could intensify competition.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$21,102Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release, massive MCU event status with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom alongside other high-profile stars, and overwhelming industry tracking that positions it as a potential record-breaking opener. Recent post-production updates and insider polls have reinforced this momentum, echoing historical patterns for Avengers films. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on its July 31 date and solid early trailer response, though it lacks equivalent event-level hype. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which already posted a strong $132 million domestic debut in April, sits at just 4.5% as later releases now dominate expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include further marketing pushes and any date shifts that could intensify competition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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