Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 71.5% implied probability, driven by its prime December 18, 2026 holiday release slot and status as a major MCU event film reuniting Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom under the Russo brothers. This setup historically generates record presales and opening-weekend momentum compared to summer competitors. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 15.5% as the July 31 summer tentpole with Tom Holland's established draw, though it lacks equivalent crossover scale. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey benefits from proven IMAX appeal at 5.7% on its July 17 date, while family entries like Toy Story 5 trail due to narrower ceilings. Recent trailer drops and industry polls reinforcing Doomsday's event status continue to anchor these odds ahead of further marketing updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué película tiene el mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
¿Qué película tiene el mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 72%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 16%
La Odisea 5.6%
Toy Story 5 4.3%
$1,617,366 Vol.
$1,617,366 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
72%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
16%
La Odisea
6%
Toy Story 5
4%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 72%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 16%
La Odisea 5.6%
Toy Story 5 4.3%
$1,617,366 Vol.
$1,617,366 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$128,995 Vol.
72%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$46,425 Vol.
16%
La Odisea
$153,701 Vol.
6%
Toy Story 5
$188,267 Vol.
4%
Dune: Messiah
$86,577 Vol.
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$62,289 Vol.
<1%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy
$20,890 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 71.5% implied probability, driven by its prime December 18, 2026 holiday release slot and status as a major MCU event film reuniting Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom under the Russo brothers. This setup historically generates record presales and opening-weekend momentum compared to summer competitors. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 15.5% as the July 31 summer tentpole with Tom Holland's established draw, though it lacks equivalent crossover scale. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey benefits from proven IMAX appeal at 5.7% on its July 17 date, while family entries like Toy Story 5 trail due to narrower ceilings. Recent trailer drops and industry polls reinforcing Doomsday's event status continue to anchor these odds ahead of further marketing updates.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,617,366Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 71.5% implied probability, driven by its prime December 18, 2026 holiday release slot and status as a major MCU event film reuniting Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom under the Russo brothers. This setup historically generates record presales and opening-weekend momentum compared to summer competitors. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 15.5% as the July 31 summer tentpole with Tom Holland's established draw, though it lacks equivalent crossover scale. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey benefits from proven IMAX appeal at 5.7% on its July 17 date, while family entries like Toy Story 5 trail due to narrower ceilings. Recent trailer drops and industry polls reinforcing Doomsday's event status continue to anchor these odds ahead of further marketing updates.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$1,617,366Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 71.5% implied probability, driven by its prime December 18, 2026 holiday release slot and status as a major MCU event film reuniting Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom under the Russo brothers. This setup historically generates record presales and opening-weekend momentum compared to summer competitors. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 15.5% as the July 31 summer tentpole with Tom Holland's established draw, though it lacks equivalent crossover scale. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey benefits from proven IMAX appeal at 5.7% on its July 17 date, while family entries like Toy Story 5 trail due to narrower ceilings. Recent trailer drops and industry polls reinforcing Doomsday's event status continue to anchor these odds ahead of further marketing updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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