Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 69% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, closely tracking the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, which targets that range for a mid-June roadshow and listing—the largest public offering ever. This consensus reflects surging Starlink revenue projections of $22-24 billion in 2026 from subscriber growth and global expansion, alongside Starship launch successes boosting competitive positioning in the $626 billion space economy. The jump from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation underscores market enthusiasm for Elon Musk's execution, though regulatory scrutiny and macro risk appetite could sway final pricing ahead of key SEC milestones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1,75-2,00 billones 67%
2,00-2,25T 29%
1.25-1.50T 10.5%
2.50T+ 5.6%
$132,006 Vol.
$132,006 Vol.
<1,25B
4%
1.25-1.50T
22%
1,50-1,75T
48%
1,75-2,00 billones
67%
2,00-2,25T
29%
2.25-2.50T
4%
2.50T+
6%
1,75-2,00 billones 67%
2,00-2,25T 29%
1.25-1.50T 10.5%
2.50T+ 5.6%
$132,006 Vol.
$132,006 Vol.
<1,25B
$60,139 Vol.
4%
1.25-1.50T
$16,003 Vol.
22%
1,50-1,75T
$8,192 Vol.
48%
1,75-2,00 billones
$12,859 Vol.
67%
2,00-2,25T
$14,049 Vol.
29%
2.25-2.50T
$10,019 Vol.
4%
2.50T+
$10,745 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 69% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, closely tracking the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, which targets that range for a mid-June roadshow and listing—the largest public offering ever. This consensus reflects surging Starlink revenue projections of $22-24 billion in 2026 from subscriber growth and global expansion, alongside Starship launch successes boosting competitive positioning in the $626 billion space economy. The jump from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation underscores market enthusiasm for Elon Musk's execution, though regulatory scrutiny and macro risk appetite could sway final pricing ahead of key SEC milestones.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$132,006Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 69% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, closely tracking the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, which targets that range for a mid-June roadshow and listing—the largest public offering ever. This consensus reflects surging Starlink revenue projections of $22-24 billion in 2026 from subscriber growth and global expansion, alongside Starship launch successes boosting competitive positioning in the $626 billion space economy. The jump from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation underscores market enthusiasm for Elon Musk's execution, though regulatory scrutiny and macro risk appetite could sway final pricing ahead of key SEC milestones.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$132,006Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 69% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, closely tracking the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, which targets that range for a mid-June roadshow and listing—the largest public offering ever. This consensus reflects surging Starlink revenue projections of $22-24 billion in 2026 from subscriber growth and global expansion, alongside Starship launch successes boosting competitive positioning in the $626 billion space economy. The jump from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation underscores market enthusiasm for Elon Musk's execution, though regulatory scrutiny and macro risk appetite could sway final pricing ahead of key SEC milestones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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