Arsenal's 57.5% implied probability as favorites for the Champions League semi-final second leg stems from their home advantage at the Emirates following a 1-1 first-leg draw in Madrid yesterday, where they demonstrated resilience against Atlético's pressure. Recent injury blows hit both sides—Arsenal without Kai Havertz (muscle) and Mikel Merino (foot), but Bukayo Saka returns after Achilles recovery, boosting attack; Atlético miss key defender José María Giménez and midfielder Pablo Barrios, weakening their backline for the away fixture. Arsenal's superior squad depth, recent Premier League momentum, and Atlético's concession of 1.9 goals per UCL match underpin trader consensus, while the 24.5% draw pricing nods to Diego Simeone's tactical nous in tight ties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIf Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Arsenal's 57.5% implied probability as favorites for the Champions League semi-final second leg stems from their home advantage at the Emirates following a 1-1 first-leg draw in Madrid yesterday, where they demonstrated resilience against Atlético's pressure. Recent injury blows hit both sides—Arsenal without Kai Havertz (muscle) and Mikel Merino (foot), but Bukayo Saka returns after Achilles recovery, boosting attack; Atlético miss key defender José María Giménez and midfielder Pablo Barrios, weakening their backline for the away fixture. Arsenal's superior squad depth, recent Premier League momentum, and Atlético's concession of 1.9 goals per UCL match underpin trader consensus, while the 24.5% draw pricing nods to Diego Simeone's tactical nous in tight ties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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