Trader consensus favors Arsenal at 57.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League semi-final second leg at home against Atlético Madrid, following a tense 1-1 first-leg draw at the Wanda Metropolitano where penalties from Viktor Gyökeres and Julián Álvarez leveled proceedings amid Arsenal's pre-match pitch condition complaint. Arsenal's strong Emirates fortress—unbeaten in recent European home ties—bolsters their edge, despite Kai Havertz sidelined and lingering doubts over Riccardo Calafiori and Jurriën Timber. Atlético face steeper hurdles with José María Giménez, Pablo Barrios, and Nicolás González confirmed out, plus Álvarez's ankle knock (optimism for recovery), tilting sentiment toward Arsenal's squad depth and rest advantage in this aggregate showdown, while pricing a draw at 24.5% reflects Simeone's resilient low-block tactics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIf Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Arsenal at 57.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League semi-final second leg at home against Atlético Madrid, following a tense 1-1 first-leg draw at the Wanda Metropolitano where penalties from Viktor Gyökeres and Julián Álvarez leveled proceedings amid Arsenal's pre-match pitch condition complaint. Arsenal's strong Emirates fortress—unbeaten in recent European home ties—bolsters their edge, despite Kai Havertz sidelined and lingering doubts over Riccardo Calafiori and Jurriën Timber. Atlético face steeper hurdles with José María Giménez, Pablo Barrios, and Nicolás González confirmed out, plus Álvarez's ankle knock (optimism for recovery), tilting sentiment toward Arsenal's squad depth and rest advantage in this aggregate showdown, while pricing a draw at 24.5% reflects Simeone's resilient low-block tactics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes