**Paloma Valencia finished the May 31, 2026 first round with roughly 7% of the vote, placing third behind Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda and confirming the market’s overwhelming <10% consensus.** As the Democratic Center’s establishment candidate backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, she won her party’s primary but saw support erode amid a polarized contest. A divided center-right, disputes with running mate Juan Daniel Oviedo, and de la Espriella’s rapid consolidation of right-wing voters through social media and security-focused messaging shifted votes away from her more institutional profile. With official tallies complete and no material disputes altering the certified share, traders price any reversal or recount-driven change as remote. Late legal challenges or certification delays remain the only narrow paths to a different bracket.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPaloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 99.0%
10-15% 1.4%
30-35% 1.4%
25-30% <1%
$14,814 Vol.
$14,814 Vol.
31 may 2026
<10%
99%
10-15%
1%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35%+
<1%
<10% 99.0%
10-15% 1.4%
30-35% 1.4%
25-30% <1%
$14,814 Vol.
$14,814 Vol.
31 may 2026
<10%
$7,806 Vol.
99%
10-15%
$1,598 Vol.
1%
15-20%
$733 Vol.
<1%
20-25%
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
25-30%
$2,512 Vol.
1%
30-35%
$688 Vol.
1%
35%+
$415 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.**Paloma Valencia finished the May 31, 2026 first round with roughly 7% of the vote, placing third behind Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda and confirming the market’s overwhelming <10% consensus.**
As the Democratic Center’s establishment candidate backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, she won her party’s primary but saw support erode amid a polarized contest. A divided center-right, disputes with running mate Juan Daniel Oviedo, and de la Espriella’s rapid consolidation of right-wing voters through social media and security-focused messaging shifted votes away from her more institutional profile. With official tallies complete and no material disputes altering the certified share, traders price any reversal or recount-driven change as remote. Late legal challenges or certification delays remain the only narrow paths to a different bracket.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volumen
$14,814Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.**Paloma Valencia finished the May 31, 2026 first round with roughly 7% of the vote, placing third behind Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda and confirming the market’s overwhelming <10% consensus.**
As the Democratic Center’s establishment candidate backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, she won her party’s primary but saw support erode amid a polarized contest. A divided center-right, disputes with running mate Juan Daniel Oviedo, and de la Espriella’s rapid consolidation of right-wing voters through social media and security-focused messaging shifted votes away from her more institutional profile. With official tallies complete and no material disputes altering the certified share, traders price any reversal or recount-driven change as remote. Late legal challenges or certification delays remain the only narrow paths to a different bracket.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volumen
$14,814Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Paloma Valencia finished the May 31, 2026 first round with roughly 7% of the vote, placing third behind Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda and confirming the market’s overwhelming <10% consensus.** As the Democratic Center’s establishment candidate backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, she won her party’s primary but saw support erode amid a polarized contest. A divided center-right, disputes with running mate Juan Daniel Oviedo, and de la Espriella’s rapid consolidation of right-wing voters through social media and security-focused messaging shifted votes away from her more institutional profile. With official tallies complete and no material disputes altering the certified share, traders price any reversal or recount-driven change as remote. Late legal challenges or certification delays remain the only narrow paths to a different bracket.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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