**Paloma Valencia's first-round performance in Colombia's May 31, 2026 presidential election reflected deep polarization that consolidated support around the two leading candidates.** As the Centro Democrático nominee backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, she positioned herself as a center-right alternative but captured only about 6.9% of the vote. Voters shifted toward hardline right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella, who secured 43.7%, and leftist Iván Cepeda with 40.9%. Factors included de la Espriella's stronger appeal on security issues, disputes with her running mate, and a broader rejection of establishment figures amid high crime concerns and dissatisfaction with the outgoing Petro administration. Her endorsement of de la Espriella for the June 21 runoff further highlights the fragmented center-right bloc. Late developments, such as turnout patterns or scandals, remain the main variables that could have altered shares in a tightly contested field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPaloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 98.9%
10-15% 1.6%
30-35% <1%
25-30% <1%
$14,814 Vol.
$14,814 Vol.
<10%
99%
10-15%
2%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35%+
<1%
<10% 98.9%
10-15% 1.6%
30-35% <1%
25-30% <1%
$14,814 Vol.
$14,814 Vol.
<10%
99%
10-15%
2%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Paloma Valencia's first-round performance in Colombia's May 31, 2026 presidential election reflected deep polarization that consolidated support around the two leading candidates.** As the Centro Democrático nominee backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, she positioned herself as a center-right alternative but captured only about 6.9% of the vote. Voters shifted toward hardline right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella, who secured 43.7%, and leftist Iván Cepeda with 40.9%. Factors included de la Espriella's stronger appeal on security issues, disputes with her running mate, and a broader rejection of establishment figures amid high crime concerns and dissatisfaction with the outgoing Petro administration. Her endorsement of de la Espriella for the June 21 runoff further highlights the fragmented center-right bloc. Late developments, such as turnout patterns or scandals, remain the main variables that could have altered shares in a tightly contested field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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