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Elecciones·Senado

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

icon for ¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?
Elecciones·Senado

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

Chuck Schumer 44%

John Thune 28%

Brian Schatz 12%

Cory Booker 5.5%

Polymarket

$36,714 Vol.

Chuck Schumer 44%

John Thune 28%

Brian Schatz 12%

Cory Booker 5.5%

Polymarket

$36,714 Vol.

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$4,057 Vol.

44%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$975 Vol.

28%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$1,383 Vol.

12%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$1,055 Vol.

6%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$584 Vol.

4%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$758 Vol.

3%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$669 Vol.

2%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$18,326 Vol.

2%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$238 Vol.

1%

icon for Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

$8,555 Vol.

1%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$116 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward Democrats regaining Senate majority after the November 2026 midterms, positioning Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer as the frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability to become the next Majority Leader, ahead of current Majority Leader John Thune at 27.5%. This reflects recent Cook Political Report shifts tilting battlegrounds like Georgia, Michigan, and North Carolina toward Democrats, alongside strong Democratic fundraising reported in late April and polling leads in states such as Michigan and Ohio. Republicans defend 22 seats compared to Democrats' 13 in a map favoring challengers amid midterm dynamics against the presidential party. Brian Schatz's 12% share stems from his rising profile in Democratic leadership circles, while lower odds for others like Cory Booker highlight limited challengers absent retirements or upsets. Key primaries and further polls ahead could shift the closely contested balance.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$36,714
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward Democrats regaining Senate majority after the November 2026 midterms, positioning Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer as the frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability to become the next Majority Leader, ahead of current Majority Leader John Thune at 27.5%. This reflects recent Cook Political Report shifts tilting battlegrounds like Georgia, Michigan, and North Carolina toward Democrats, alongside strong Democratic fundraising reported in late April and polling leads in states such as Michigan and Ohio. Republicans defend 22 seats compared to Democrats' 13 in a map favoring challengers amid midterm dynamics against the presidential party. Brian Schatz's 12% share stems from his rising profile in Democratic leadership circles, while lower odds for others like Cory Booker highlight limited challengers absent retirements or upsets. Key primaries and further polls ahead could shift the closely contested balance.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$36,714
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chuck Schumer" con 44%, seguido de "John Thune" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" ha generado $36.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es "Chuck Schumer" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Thune" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.