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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 46.1%

Josh O'Connor 45.5%

Jacob Elordi 44%

Callum Turner 42%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 46.1%

Josh O'Connor 45.5%

Jacob Elordi 44%

Callum Turner 42%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$96 Vol.

46%

Josh O'Connor

$96 Vol.

46%

Jacob Elordi

$96 Vol.

44%

Callum Turner

$127 Vol.

42%

No Bond chosen

$96 Vol.

22%

Timothee Chalamet

$112 Vol.

13%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

13%

Theo James

$139 Vol.

11%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

10%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

7%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

7%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

5%

James Norton

$90 Vol.

5%

Pierce Brosnan

$70 Vol.

5%

Jack Lowdon

$85 Vol.

5%

Tom Hardy

$85 Vol.

5%

Harris Dickinson

$85 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official start of auditions for Bond 26 in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold, has kept the field wide open and prevented any single actor from pulling ahead in trader sentiment. Josh O'Connor, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Callum Turner, and Jacob Elordi sit nearly tied because each brings distinct strengths—established British prestige work, rising global profiles from major franchises, or recent high-profile meetings with producers—without clear guild or critical signals to break the deadlock. The sizable share still assigned to no announcement reflects the early timeline and typical secrecy around the process, with upcoming casting updates likely to shift momentum based on confirmed testing or creative team input.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,667
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official start of auditions for Bond 26 in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold, has kept the field wide open and prevented any single actor from pulling ahead in trader sentiment. Josh O'Connor, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Callum Turner, and Jacob Elordi sit nearly tied because each brings distinct strengths—established British prestige work, rising global profiles from major franchises, or recent high-profile meetings with producers—without clear guild or critical signals to break the deadlock. The sizable share still assigned to no announcement reflects the early timeline and typical secrecy around the process, with upcoming casting updates likely to shift momentum based on confirmed testing or creative team input.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,667
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next James Bond actor?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aaron Taylor-Johnson" con 46%, seguido de "Josh O'Connor" con 46%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Next James Bond actor?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Next James Bond actor?", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next James Bond actor?" es "Aaron Taylor-Johnson" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Josh O'Connor" con 46%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next James Bond actor?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.