Traders have coalesced around the 40-64 tweet range at 54.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from June 4-6, 2026, reflecting his recent moderation in posting volume compared to peak periods. Historical data shows Musk averaging roughly 60-70 tweets daily in prior years, yet similar short-window markets have settled in the low-to-mid double digits per day amid quieter news cycles or weekend timing. The next bin at 65-89 (22.5%) captures upside from potential breaking developments at Tesla, SpaceX, or X, while lower outcomes below 40 account for possible reduced engagement. Upcoming chart updates, regulatory filings, or public statements could shift momentum before the period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 55%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 4.8%
$180,097 Vol.
$180,097 Vol.
6 jun 2026
<40
21%
40-64
55%
65-89
23%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 55%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 4.8%
$180,097 Vol.
$180,097 Vol.
6 jun 2026
<40
$22,932 Vol.
21%
40-64
$15,914 Vol.
55%
65-89
$15,026 Vol.
23%
90-114
$15,924 Vol.
5%
115-139
$15,937 Vol.
1%
140-164
$19,322 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$36,668 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$14,919 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$13,468 Vol.
<1%
240+
$11,445 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have coalesced around the 40-64 tweet range at 54.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from June 4-6, 2026, reflecting his recent moderation in posting volume compared to peak periods. Historical data shows Musk averaging roughly 60-70 tweets daily in prior years, yet similar short-window markets have settled in the low-to-mid double digits per day amid quieter news cycles or weekend timing. The next bin at 65-89 (22.5%) captures upside from potential breaking developments at Tesla, SpaceX, or X, while lower outcomes below 40 account for possible reduced engagement. Upcoming chart updates, regulatory filings, or public statements could shift momentum before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volumen
$180,097Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have coalesced around the 40-64 tweet range at 54.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from June 4-6, 2026, reflecting his recent moderation in posting volume compared to peak periods. Historical data shows Musk averaging roughly 60-70 tweets daily in prior years, yet similar short-window markets have settled in the low-to-mid double digits per day amid quieter news cycles or weekend timing. The next bin at 65-89 (22.5%) captures upside from potential breaking developments at Tesla, SpaceX, or X, while lower outcomes below 40 account for possible reduced engagement. Upcoming chart updates, regulatory filings, or public statements could shift momentum before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$180,097Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have coalesced around the 40-64 tweet range at 54.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from June 4-6, 2026, reflecting his recent moderation in posting volume compared to peak periods. Historical data shows Musk averaging roughly 60-70 tweets daily in prior years, yet similar short-window markets have settled in the low-to-mid double digits per day amid quieter news cycles or weekend timing. The next bin at 65-89 (22.5%) captures upside from potential breaking developments at Tesla, SpaceX, or X, while lower outcomes below 40 account for possible reduced engagement. Upcoming chart updates, regulatory filings, or public statements could shift momentum before the period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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