Trader consensus heavily favors Javier Milei remaining Argentina's president through 2026, with "No" at 91.7%, reflecting the high constitutional barriers to impeachment—requiring two-thirds approval in the lower house to initiate proceedings and a Senate trial—amid a fragmented opposition lacking unified support. Milei's La Libertad Avanza party gained legislative seats in the October 2025 midterms, bolstering his veto power and reducing removal risks despite economic headwinds like rising unemployment and court challenges over reforms. Recent actions, including an April 22 electoral reform bill to Congress scrapping mandatory primaries and ongoing inflation control, signal policy continuity without active ouster threats; late scandals, health issues, or VP rifts could shift odds, but none have materialized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Milei como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?
¿Milei como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?
Sí
$28,428 Vol.
$28,428 Vol.
Sí
$28,428 Vol.
$28,428 Vol.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Javier Milei remaining Argentina's president through 2026, with "No" at 91.7%, reflecting the high constitutional barriers to impeachment—requiring two-thirds approval in the lower house to initiate proceedings and a Senate trial—amid a fragmented opposition lacking unified support. Milei's La Libertad Avanza party gained legislative seats in the October 2025 midterms, bolstering his veto power and reducing removal risks despite economic headwinds like rising unemployment and court challenges over reforms. Recent actions, including an April 22 electoral reform bill to Congress scrapping mandatory primaries and ongoing inflation control, signal policy continuity without active ouster threats; late scandals, health issues, or VP rifts could shift odds, but none have materialized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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